Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/24/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and the Texas Rangers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Taj Bradley here and Bradley is 6-8 with a 5.20 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bradley is 0-2 with a 5.03 ERA and 25 strikeouts against the Rangers. Jacob deGrom will get the start for the Rangers here and is 12-8 with a 3.01 ERA and 177 strikeouts this season. This will be deGrom’s second career start against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over the Texas Rangers from Tuesday’s opener to sit at 68-89 this season. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for an interleague series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Twins Win Back-To-Back Games

Byron Buxton has 124 hits along with 21 doubles, a team-high 31 home runs and 76 RBIs with 24 stolen bases and 7 triples while Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 122 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs and 60 RBIs as well this season. Brooks Lee has contributed 112 hits with 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 64 RBIs and Matt Wallner has 22 homers and 40 RBIs as well. 

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to rebound from their series-opening loss at the hands of the Twins on Wednesday to sit at 79-78 this year. After this set, the Rangers will take to the road for a series against the Cleveland Guardians.

Rangers Drop 8th In A Row

Corey Seager has 103 hits including 21 home runs and 50 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 113 hits with 28 doubles, 18 home runs, 74 RBIs and 13 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 116 hits with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 60 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 118 hits with 25 doubles, 22 home runs, 62 RBIs and 22 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 11 homers and 43 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 123 hits with 23 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs with 12 stolen bases and Marcus Semien’s added 108 hits with 16 doubles, 15 homers and 62 RBIs but has 93 strikeouts this season.

Minnesota Twins @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 24, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom      Record this season: 12-8      ERA: 3.01
• Home Record: 6-5
• Last 5 against Twins: 0-1

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Twins have lost 12 of their last 14 night games after playing the previous day.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 13 road night games.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in six of their last seven games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley      Record this season: 6-8      ERA: 5.20
• Road Record: 2-4
• Last 5 against Rangers: 0-2

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last nine games at Globe Life Field.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against the Twins following a loss.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four games against American League opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• James Outman has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.535) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.46).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (584).
• The Twins rank T4th in the league for walks allowed this season (450).
• The Twins rank 27th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.259).

Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m on the Rangers in this one. I get the case to be made for the Twins as the Rangers haven’t been playing like a team that’s worthy of laying this kind of hefty price. However, deGrom is the staff ace and this feels like a spot where the team rallies behind their ace as Taj Bradley has been batting practice for whatever team he’s gone up against for much of the season. I think Texas finally snaps this slide, so give me the Rangers here.