Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction 7/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and the Houston Astros meet Wednesday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Taj Bradley for the start here and Bradley is 6-3 with a 3.98 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Tatsuya Imai will start here for the Astros and is 5-3 with a 5.36 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to shake off their 6-4 loss at the hands of the Astros on Tuesday to fall to 41-46 this season. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for a series against the Yankees.

Twins Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Going into Tuesday, Byron Buxton has 81 hits with 15 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 43 RBIs while Josh Bell’s added 72 hits with 16 doubles, 9 home runs and 51 RBIs. Luke Keaschall has 67 hits with 12 doubles, 2 homers and 24 RBIs. Brooks Lee has 14 home runs with 47 RBIs and Victor Caratini has 31 RBIs while Kody Clemens has 61 hits with 16 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 34 RBIs this season.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Twins from Tuesday to sit at 43-45 this season. After this series, the Astros will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in a series at home.

Astros Searching For Series Win

Entering Tuesday, Yordan Alvarez has 94 hits with 16 doubles, 25 home runs and 56 RBIs while Christian Walker has 76 hits with 16 doubles, 19 home runs and 56 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 57 hits with 12 doubles, 8 home runs and 21 RBIs and Isaac Paredes has 73 hits with 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 45 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 61 hits with 12 doubles, 9 home runs and 30 RBIs.

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: July 1, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tatsuya Imai      Record this season: 5-3      ERA: 5.36
• Home Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Twins: 0-1

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Twins have lost five of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday night home games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games as home favorites.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games as home favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley      Record this season: 6-3      ERA: 3.98
• Road Record: 5-2
• Last 5 against Astros: 2-3

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have won the first inning in six of their last seven road games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Astros’ last five games as favorites against the Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Twins’ last 14 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Taj Bradley’s last seven road appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Astros’ last six games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven home appearances against the Twins.
• Tatsuya Imai has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Tatsuya Imai has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.618) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Taj Bradley has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Taj Bradley has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in 11 of his last 14 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (28).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (380).
• The Twins rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (452).
• The Twins rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.87).

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros Prediction

I’ll back the Twins here. These have been two surprising options in their respective rotations, in Bradley and Imai, but I think the Twins have done a lot more damage against righties in the last couple of weeks and the month of June than Houston did. I just trust Bradley’s game more here so I’ll roll with the Twins in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Minnesota +105