Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 7/19/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, July 19th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 55-43 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 28-20 home record and are coming off a 6-2 home win against the Twins. They will face the Tigers and the Pirates next.

The Chicago Cubs have a .244 batting average this season, .336 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average, adding a team-high 21 home runs. Dansby Swanson leads the team in RBI with 58.

Shota Imanaga (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Chicago Cubs, and he has a 5-8 record, 4.17 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 49-50 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL Central. They have a 23-25 away record and are coming off a 2-6 road loss against the Cubs. They will face the Guardians and the Athletics next.

The Minnesota Twins have a .248 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .415 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Byron Buxton is the team’s best hitter with a .271 batting average, adding a team-high 25 home runs. Josh Bell leads the team in RBI with 60.

Zebby Matthews (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Minnesota Twins, and he has a 4-6 record, 4.57 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: July 19, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shota Imanaga      Record this season: 5-8      ERA: 4.17
• Home Record: 3-4
• Last 5 against Twins: 1-1

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won nine of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have lost nine of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in each of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zebby Matthews      Record this season: 4-6      ERA: 4.57
• Road Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Cubs: –

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Cubs have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Cubs’ last eight day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last seven road games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the last 10 games between the Twins and Cubs at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit a home run in four of the Cubs’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 12 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 4th in the league in Steals (25) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Kody Clemens has hit at least one home run in each of his three previous appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
• Zebby Matthews has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (425).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (425).
• The Twins are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.
• The Twins are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.

Twins vs Cubs Prediction

Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and the Cubs are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Chicago.

In this Twins vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -170 home favorites. I am with the Cubs in this one, as they have every advantage on the board. Imanaga has been superior than Matthews and in far better form, having given up two runs or less in five of his last six starts. On the flip side, Matthews has been terrible on the road with a 6.17 ERA, the Twins are weaker against lefties and also have the fourth-worst bullpen in baseball. Take the Cubs to win this one at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Chicago Cubs ML