The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Andrew Heaney for the start here and Heaney is 3-6 with a 3.94 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. In his career, Heaney is 1-2 with a 4.66 ERA and 27 strikeouts against the Brewers. Freddy Peralta will get the start for the Brewers here and is 7-4 with a 2.76 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Pirates, Peralta is 0-1 with a 5.04 ERA and 27 strikeouts.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to build on their 5-4 win over the Milwaukee Brewers last time out to sit at 32-48 on the year. After this series, the Pirates will head home for a series against the New York Mets.

Pirates Win 6 Of Their Last 9

Bryan Reynolds has 66 hits with 12 doubles, 8 home runs and 39 RBIs while also posting 84 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 13 home runs and 31 RBIs with 26 stolen bases while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 62 hits with 10 doubles and 9 stolen bases. Emmanuel Valdez also has a pair of triples as well this season. Tommy Pham has 6 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 64 hits with 13 doubles and KeBryan Hayes has 62 hits with 22 RBIs and 9 stolen bases.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last five games.
The Brewers have lost each of their last six Tuesday games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Pirates’ last five games against the Brewers.
Andrew Heaney has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last eight games against the Brewers.
Jack Suwinski has hit a home run in three of his last four Tuesday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
Adam Frazier has scored a run in five of his last six appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against NL opponents.
Oneil Cruz ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (26) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to rebound from their loss to start the series against the Pirates to slip to 43-36 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will take on the Colorado Rockies at home.

Brewers Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Brice Turang has 78 hits with 5 home runs, 31 RBIs and 16 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has 86 hits with a team-high 22 doubles, 15 stolen bases, 12 home runs and 46 RBIs and Sal Frelick has 81 hits as well as 3 triples and 14 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 12 stolen bases with 15 homers and 56 RBIs while also adding 9 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 85 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 6 homers and 34 RBIs as well this season. Rhys Hoskins has added 61 hits with 12 home runs, 40 RBIs and 11 doubles.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

The Pirates have lost each of their last eight night games against the Brewers at American Family Field following a road win.
The Brewers have won 13 of their last 14 night games against the Pirates at American Family Field following a loss.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against National League opponents following a road win.
The Brewers have covered the run line in four of their last five games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games as favorites.
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last five games.
Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents.
Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Pirates.
Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Andrew Vaughn has recorded a Double in each of his three previous appearances at American Family Field.
Freddy Peralta ranks T8th in the league for Wins (7) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Pirates’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Brewers’ last six night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m backing the Brew Crew here. I just think that Freddy Peralta is the better starter here with the better matchup in this spot, and I just don’t see the Pirates getting to Peralta especially at home where he has been so strong already this season. On the other side, the Brewers have been hitting fairly well against left-handed pitching, and I think the Brewers to enough to exact some revenge here. Give me the Brewers.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Milwaukee -205