Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9/24/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet Thursday night in a National League matchup at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at this matchup from a betting perspective.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers enter Thursday’s contest with an 99–59 overall record (1st in the National League Central) and a rather impressive 47–33 mark on the road. The Brewers offense has been elite this season. Milwaukee has compiled 810 runs scored (2nd in MLB), 271 doubles (5th in MLB), 151 home runs and a .257 team batting average which ranks third in Major League Baseball.

Milwaukee arrives at this contest in good form, winning four of the team’s last five games played this season, including a 3-0 shutout victory over the Baltimore Orioles last week.

The Brewers will turn to right hander Bryse Wilson in this game. In 12 appearances made in 2026, Wilson has compiled a 3.67 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP and 30 strikeouts in 34.1 innings pitched. Bryse Wilson has pitched well recently, allowing only three earned runs across his last 14 innings pitched. Wilson will look to build on his recent quality performances on the mound in tonight’s matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Brewers lineup features catcher William Contreras and second baseman Brice Turang. Contreras enters this contest with a .272 batting average, 18 home runs, 27 doubles, 59 walks, 93 RBIs and a .762 OPS. Brice Turang has amassed a .265 batting average, 20 home runs, 94 RBIs (12th in MLB) and an .810 OPS.                                                                     

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter Thursday’s contest with an 87-71 overall record (2nd in the National League East) and a 42-35 mark at home. The Phillies have won two of the team’s last three games, including a 7-2 defeat of the New York Mets four days ago.

The Phillies will start right hander Andrew Painter in this contest. In 22 starts made this season, Painter has compiled a 3-10 win-loss record, a 5.59 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP and 107 strikeouts in 120.2 innings pitched. Painter arrives at this contest in subpar form, allowing four earned runs or more in two of his last three starts made in 2026.

The Phillies lineup features designated hitter Kyle Schwarber and first baseman Bryce Harper. Schwarber has amassed a team leading 45 home runs (1st in MLB), 95 RBIs and an .859 OPS which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Harper enters this contest with a .268 batting average and 28 home runs.  

                        

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win.

• Starting pitching. In 2026, Bryse Wilson has compiled a 3.67 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP and 30 strikeouts in 34.1 innings pitched.

• Current form. The Milwaukee Brewers have won four of the team’s last five games.   

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win.

• Starting pitching. In 24 appearances made this season, Andrew Painter has compiled a 3-10 win-loss record, a 5.59 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP and 107 strikeouts in 120.2 innings pitched.

• Offensive firepower. Kyle Schwarber has amassed a massive 45 home runs which ranks first in Major League Baseball.  

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

In my view, the way to go in this matchup is the total rather than a side. Why? Milwaukee hurler Bryse Miller will make his first start of the 2026 regular season. Miller has been inconsistent in 12 relief appearances which is a concern when facing a formidable Philadelphia Phillies lineup. Similarly, Philadelphia Andrew Painter arrives at this contest in subpar form, allowing four earned runs or more in two of his last three starts made in 2026. I think both teams find offensive success in this contest. For the reasons just noted, I am backing over 8.5 runs in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Over 8.5