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Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 9/14/24
Pick details
Arizona Diamondbacks (82-64) vs Milwaukee Brewers (84-62)
September 14, 2024 at 08:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -143 / Milwaukee Brewers +121 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Chase Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 85-62 on the year after playing the Rockies and Giants. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games. The Milwaukee Brewers have lost 5 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 155 hits and 84 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 267 hits and 154 RBI.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 82-65 on the year after playing the Astros and Rangers. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 21 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 11 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 134 hits and 85 RBI, while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Eugenio Suarez have combined for 263 hits and 162 RBI.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Pick Matchup
Tobias Myers gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 7-5 with a 2.93 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. Myers has allowed 12 hits and 3 earned runs in his last 11.2 innings. Myers has a 2.76 ERA and .256 allowed batting average in 58.2 road innings. This will be Myers’ first career game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 9-8 with a 4.42 ERA and 160 strikeouts this season. Pfaadt has allowed 16 hits and 7 runs in his last 10.1 innings. Pfaadt has a 4.23 ERA and .260 allowed batting average in 78.2 home innings. This will be Pfaadt’s first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won 11 of their last 13 games as road underdogs.
- The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday games as road underdogs.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one Double in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Pfaadt has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances at Chase Field.
- Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in 17 of his last 18 appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites against NL opponents.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 16 home games.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Randal Grichuk has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Brewers’ last six games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last four road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in six of the Brewers’ last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in eight of his nine previous appearances at Chase Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Sal Frelick has recorded at least one Single in five of the Brewers’ last six games as road underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.441).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.336).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.59).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (573).
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Arizona Diamondbacks should be favored at home, where they’ve been great all year, but the value is with the Brewers and the plus money. Not only are the Brewers closing in on a division title, but they’re throwing out Tobias Myers, who has been one of the best starting pitchers in all of baseball since June. On the season, Myers has a 2.93 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Brandon Pfaadt has been far and away more hittable this season and is coming off two shaky starts. I’ll gladly take the plus money with the Brewers.