Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8/31/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, August 31st in the fourth game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 65-74 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 31-39 home record and are coming off a 2-6 home loss against the Marlins. They will face the Braves and the Dodgers next.

The Washington Nationals have a .248 batting average this season, .324 OBP, and .430 slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the Nationals’ best hitter with a .267 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 92. James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.

Will Dion (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, with a 1-1 record, 3.67 ERA, and 1.14 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 69-68 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 27-41 road record and are coming off a 6-2 road win against the Nationals. They will face the Royals and the Cubs next.

The Miami Marlins have a .247 batting average this season, .326 OBP, and .397 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the Marlins’ best hitter with a .305 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 61. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 22 home runs.

Ryan Gusto (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, with a 1-3 record, 3.98 ERA, and 1.33 WHIP.

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: August 31, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Dion      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 6.00
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Marlins: –

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Marlins’ last four games.
• The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine road games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last four games.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in each of their last six Monday games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryan Gusto      Record this season: 1-3      ERA: 3.98
• Road Record: 0-2
• Last 5 against Nationals: 1-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last 12 games as road favorites against the Nationals following a road win.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Monday night games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Nationals’ last six games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Marlins’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last seven night games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the Marlins’ last 14 night games against NL opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Brady House has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances with the Nationals as home underdogs against the Marlins.
• Brady House has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Nationals as home underdogs against NL opponents.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (43) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last three games as road favorites.
• Ryan Gusto has recorded four or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Monday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Otto Lopez ranks T1st in the league in Hits (163) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (190).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.430).
• The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (28).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (146).

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction

The Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 meetings against the Nationals and are 4-2 in their last 6 visits in Washington.

In this Marlins vs Nationals Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -110 road favorites. I like the Marlins to keep rolling in this one with Ryan Gusto on the mound, who is coming off back-to-back shutouts. The Nats are going for a bullpen game and their opener has been terrible far weaker at home and their bullpen has been atrocious lately, with a 9.53 ERA in their last 5 games. Take the Marlins to win this one on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Miami Marlins ML