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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 06/17/2025 Picks
Pick details
Philadelphia (43-29) vs Miami (28-42)
June 17, 2025 at 06:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +165 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet Tuesday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Jesus Luzardo for the start here and Luzardo is 6-2 with a 4.23 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. This will be Luzardo’s second career start against the Marlins. Cal Quantrill will get the start for the Marlins here and is 3-7 with a 5.61 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. In his career, Quantrill is 1-1 with a 5.31 ERA and 13 strikeouts against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their 5-2 win over the Miami Marlins last time out to sit at 43-29 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a series against the New York Mets.
Phillies Pick Up Fifth Win In A Row
Nick Castellanos has 75 hits with 17 doubles including 7 home runs and 36 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 64 hits with a team-high 22 home runs and 52 RBIs but also has a team-high 82 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 85 hits with a team-high 19 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles and Bryson Stott has 6 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers and 27 RBIs while Stott also has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
– The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games at LoanDepot Park.
– The Phillies have won each of their last six road games against National League opponents following a win.
– The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
– The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against National League opponents following a win.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
– Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of his last four road appearances against the Marlins.
– Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last three games against the Marlins.
– Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
– Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last six games.
– Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
– Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
– Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
– Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (88) this season.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins will be out to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Phillies on Monday to sit at 28-42 this season. After this series, the Marlins take on the Atlanta Braves in a divisional set at home.
Marlins Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Xavier Edwards has 60 hits including 6 doubles and a team-high 11 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 60 hits with 14 doubles. Otto Lopez has 47 hits with 7 doubles and 6 home runs with 24 RBIs and Matt Mervis has 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 62 hits with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 10 home runs and 33 RBIs but also has 73 strikeouts while Mervis has 50 K’s as well so far this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
– The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
– The Marlins have won six of their last eight games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
– The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
– The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday night games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
– Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Tuesday appearances with his team as an underdog.
– Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last 15 games as underdogs.
– Otto Lopez has recorded an RBI in three of the Marlins’ last four games against the Phillies at LoanDepot Park.
– Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four games against NL East opponents at LoanDepot Park.
– Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
– Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in five of the Marlins’ last six home games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
– Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
– Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against the Marlins have gone OVER the total runs line.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction
I’m on the Marlins in this one. I get the case to be made for the Phillies as they’re rolling and Luzardo had a nice bounce back start last time out. However, the Marlins have still been hitting lefties fairly well as of late and I think Quantrill can keep them competitive with Luzardo only one start removed from allowing 20 runs in two starts. I think the Marlins have a good chance at the upset here so give me the Marlins in this one.