Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will start Max Meyer here and Meyer is 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. This will be Meyer’s first career start against the Twins. Simeon Woods Richardson will start for the Twins and is 0-5 with a 6.92 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. In his career, Woods Richardson is 1-0 with a 6.00 ERA and 5 strikeouts against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-0 loss at the hands of Minnesota on Tuesday to sit at 19-23 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Marlins Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Entering Tuesday, Xavier Edwards has 48 hits with 7 doubles, 2 triples, 4 home runs and 14 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 55 hits with 11 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers and 17 RBIs. Agustin Ramirez has 26 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 14 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 37 hits with 3 doubles, 9 home runs and 35 RBIs. Connor Norby has 27 hits with 8 doubles, 3 home runs and 12 RBIs and Owen Caissie has 20 hits with 6 doubles, 2 homers and 17 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 27 hits with 2 triples, 2 home runs and 13 RBIs this season. 

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins will be looking to add on to their win over Miami last time out to sit at 19-23 on the year. After this series, the Twins will take on the Milwaukee Brewers in a series at home.

Twins Win 3 Straight

Going into Tuesday, Byron Buxton has 42 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 21 RBIs while Josh Bell’s added 31 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 20 RBIs. Luke Keaschall has 33 hits with 8 doubles, a homer and 15 RBIs and Matt Wallner has 20 hits with 3 doubles, 4 home runs and 10 RBIs. Brooks Lee has 5 home runs with 24 RBIs and Victor Caratini has 13 RBIs while Ryan Jeffers has 31 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 5 home runs and 23 RBIs this season.

Miami Marlins @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: May 13, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Simeon Woods-Richardson      Record this season: 0-5      ERA: 6.92
• Home Record: 0-2
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-0

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The underdogs have won seven of the Marlins’ last eight games at Target Field.
• The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Marlins and Twins.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 home games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Meyer      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 2.79
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Twins: –

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Twins have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have won each of their last four games against the Twins following a loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Target Field.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the last four games between the Marlins and Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six night games at Target Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last three games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded a hit in each of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Byron Buxton ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (13) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Jakob Marsee has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games as road favorites.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (55) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank T27th in the league for strikeouts this season (317).
• The Twins rank T24th in the league for triples this season (3).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (48).
• The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (8).

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m on the Marlins in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game if it wasn’t Woods Richardson starting for Minnesota as he’s easily been the least effective starter in this Twins rotation so far this season. On the flipside, Meyer’s been one of Miami’s best and I think this is a great bounce back spot for the Fish here. Give me Miami.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Miami -125