Pick details
| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 71-69 | 62-78 |
| Spread | -1.5 133 | +1.5 -161 |
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Total | Over 9 (-112) | Under 9 (-108) |
| Where | Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri | |
| When | Thursday, September 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 71-69 on the year and play the Cubs and Mets next. The Miami Marlins are batting .248 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and have a .399 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 165 hits and 61 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Javier Sanoja have combined for 245 hits and 103 RBI.
Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 13-8 with a 3.46 ERA and 140 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 1-0 with a 2.40 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 62-78 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Diamondbacks next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .247 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .401 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals’ pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 135 hits and 50 RBI, while Salvador Perez and Jac Caglianone have combined for 242 hits and 131 RBI.
Michael Wacha gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 8-8 with a 3.32 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. Wacha is 4-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Royals’ last four games at Kauffman Stadium.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last four games at Kauffman Stadium.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Royals have lost 12 of their last 13 night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The road team has won five of the Royals’ last six games.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 night games at Kauffman Stadium following a home loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in five of the Royals’ last six games.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Marlins’ last five games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Royals’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of Sandy Alcantara’s last 13 appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Royals’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Wacha has been solid for the Royals this season with a 3.32 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, but he pitches for a team that piles up the losses, so it doesn’t matter much. Alcantara has allowed 36 hits and 9 runs in his last 46 innings. He’s looking like his All-Star and cy young self over the last month or so. The Marlins are also fighting for a wild card spot. The fish and the low price have to be the play here.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Miami Marlins
