Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 9/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Monday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will start Sandy Alcantara here and Alcantara is 13-10 with a 3.78 ERA and 143 strikeouts this season. Corbin Burnes will start for Arizona and is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 2 strikeouts this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 6-4 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers last time out to sit at 74-76 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Marlins Win Back-To-Back Games

Xavier Edwards has 142 hits with 17 doubles, 6 triples, 6 home runs and 51 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 180 hits with 31 doubles, 9 triples, 10 homers and 69 RBIs. Owen Caissie has 64 hits with 14 doubles, 14 homers and 58 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 106 hits with 18 doubles, 5 triples, 9 home runs and 36 RBIs this season. Kyle Stowers has also chipped in 100 hits with 25 doubles, 4 triples, 19 home runs and 60 RBIs.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-6 loss at the hands of the Texas Rangers last time out to sit at 79-71 this season. After this series, the Diamondbacks will take on the Yankees in a series at home.

Diamondbacks Drop Back-To-Back Games

Corbin Carroll has 128 hits including 30 doubles, 16 triples, 20 home runs and 64 RBIs. Ketel Marte has 128 hits with 26 doubles, 3 triples, 22 home runs and 73 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 131 hits, with 19 doubles, 6 triples, 9 home runs and 50 RBIs as well this season. Nolan Arenado also has 117 hits with 23 doubles, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs and Gabriel Moreno has 130 hits with 31 doubles, 13 home runs and 73 RBIs this season. Ildemaro Vargas also has 111 hits with 19 doubles, 5 triples, 9 home runs and 67 RBIs.

Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: September 14, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Corbin Burnes      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 0.00
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Marlins: 2-1

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 10 Monday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against NL opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara      Record this season: 13-10      ERA: 3.78
• Road Record: 7-6
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-2

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the Marlins’ last 14 road games against NL opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six night games.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games.
• Corbin Burnes has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 29 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gabriel Moreno is one of only six players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL West opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Monday appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
• Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 night games.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (180) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (36).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1039).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (33).
• The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (150).

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the Diamondbacks in this one. This is must-win for both teams with respect to the playoff race in the NL but I think this ends up being a game that Arizona takes. Alcantara’s started to get hit hard in some of his recent outings, and I think Arizona can get to him while Burnes looked good in limited action in his return and I look for Arizona to keep that going here. I think Arizona takes care of business so give me the Diamondbacks.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Arizona -125