Mets vs Braves Prediction 7/6/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 6th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 37-53 this season after they lost two of the first three games by scores of 3-5, 3-14, and 10-9. In game three, New York trailed 3-1 in the first inning, but they scored the next nine runs, before barely hanging on for the win. The Mets recorded 12 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Bichette, who went 3-5 with three RBIs. McLean allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Williams picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Phillies. 

This season, New York has a 4.29 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 362 runs with a .231 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 18 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Freddy Peralta, who is 5-7 with a 4.81 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 95.1 innings pitched this season. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 52-36 this year after they lost game three by a score of 9-10 on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta trailed 10-3 in the ninth inning, but they scored six runs in the bottom of the ninth and nearly tied the game. The Braves recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Baldwin, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Perez allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Carrasco allowed five earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Giants. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 431 runs with a .248 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 22 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 15 home runs and 43 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Reynaldo Lopez, who is 4-1 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 51.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have won 12 of their last 14 home games following a home loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last four games.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home night games.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home night games.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Braves have lost four of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have won four of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the Braves’ last 12 games at Truist Park.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against the Mets following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last three games as favorites against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last three games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Reynaldo Lopez’s last eight appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last five night games at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Michael Harris has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Reynaldo Lopez has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 23 appearances against the Mets at Truist Park.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against the Braves.
• Mark Vientos has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances at Truist Park.

Mets vs Braves Prediction

New York was able to get a much needed win on Sunday afternoon, but they nearly blew a seven run lead in the ninth inning. The Mets are 18-29 on the road this year, while the Braves are 27-17 at home. Atlanta has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in five straight. The Braves are starting Lopez, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 14.0 innings, while Peralta has allowed 5+ earned runs in three of his last five starts. Take the Braves at home here.

David Racey's Pick: Braves ML