In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 16th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 42-29 this year after they swept Toronto in three games by scores of 8-0, 3-2, and 11-4. In their game three win, Philadelphia had their lead cut to 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they scored the next six runs to pull away with the win. The Phillies recorded 18 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Castellanos, who went 1-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Wheeler, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Banks allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Cubs, but lost all three against the Pirates before that. Philadelphia has won five of their last six games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 334 runs with a .257 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 22 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added seven home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Mick Abel, who is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 15.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 28-41 this season after they swept the Nationals by scores of 11-9, 4-3, and 3-1. In their game three win, Miami was tied at one after the first inning, but they pitched eight shutout innings the rest of the way for the win. The Marlins recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Wagaman, who went 0-3 with two RBIs in the win. Miami started Perez, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Bachar picked up the win and Tarnok got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Pirates and two out of three against the Rays. Miami has won four of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.03 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 282 runs with a .252 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 10 home runs and 21 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 3-7 with a 7.14 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 63.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Marlins
The Marlins have lost each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Phillies have won each of their last seven Monday night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Monday night games against NL East opponents.
The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Marlins.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites against the Marlins have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Marlins’ last four home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight night games at LoanDepot Park.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last 14 games as underdogs against NL opponents.
Kyle Stowers has recorded two RBIs in four of the Marlins’ last five games against NL East opponents at LoanDepot Park.
Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five games against NL East opponents at LoanDepot Park.
Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in 18 of his last 21 appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Kyle Stowers has recorded two or more hits in each of the Marlins’ last three home games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
Trea Turner has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four road games.
Alec Bohm has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
Kyle Schwarber ranks 4th in the league in Home Runs (22) this season.

Matchup/League Facts
The Marlins rank 26th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).
The Marlins rank T25th in the league for home runs this season (61).
The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Phillies rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction 
Philadelphia comes into this matchup looking for their fifth win in a row and they are playing some very good baseball right now. The Phillies are 18-16 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 14-20 at home. Miami is also coming off of a series sweep, but they are starting Alcantara, who has been pretty bad for most of the year. Philadelphia is starting Abel, who has allowed a total of four earned runs over 15.1 innings of work. Take the Phillies -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Pick: Phillies -1.5