Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet Tuesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Justin Wrobleski for the start here, and Wrobleski is 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Wrobleski’s first career start against the Padres. Randy Vasquez will get the start for the Padres and is 3-4 with a 3.69 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Vasquez’s first career start against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to bounce back from an 11-1 loss at the hands of the Padres in Tuesday’s matchup to sit at 40-28 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head home for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Dodgers Looking To Respond In Rubber Match

Shohei Ohtani has 76 hits, including 11 doubles, 23 home runs, 39 RBIs, and 4 triples, while Tommy Edman has 45 hits with 9 home runs and 33 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 31 hits with 9 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 53 hits with 10 home runs, 15 doubles, and 44 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 11 stolen bases, while Max Muncy has 8 doubles but also has 59 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 9 home runs and 33 RBIs on the year. Freddie Freeman has also logged 73 hits with a team-high 21 doubles, 9 home runs, and 41 RBIs.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last eight day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have lost nine of their last 10 day games against the Dodgers at Petco Park following a home win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against the Dodgers at Petco Park following a home win.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Will Smith has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Petco Park against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Will Smith has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• Will Smith has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Will Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Miguel Rojas has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Will Smith ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.423) this season.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Dodgers from Tuesday to sit at 38-28 this season. After this series, the Padres will head on the road for a series against the Diamondbacks.

Padres Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight Games

Manny Machado has 78 hits, including a team-high 18 doubles, 10 home runs, 34 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases, while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 64 hits with a team-high 13 home runs and 28 RBIs, along with 13 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 65 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 3 home runs, and 24 RBIs, while Jackson Merrill’s added 47 hits with 5 home runs and 25 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 10 doubles and 13 stolen bases this season. Gavin Sheets also has 7 doubles, 11 home runs, and 38 RBIs this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have lost three of their last five games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against National League opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has hit a home run in four of the Padres’ last five day games.
• Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in seven of the Padres’ last eight games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Gavin Sheets has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Dodgers.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Manny Machado ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (81) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Dodgers and Padres at Petco Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Dodgers’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m on the over here. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but this is a matchup between two questionable starting pitching options. Wrobleski has been roughed up in any starts he’s made this season, and Vasquez is probably the weak link in the Padres’ rotation. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 9.5