LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 10/9/24

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San Diego Padres (96-70) vs LA Dodgers (99-65)

October 9, 2024 at 09:08 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres / LA Dodgers — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. The San Diego Padres will start Dylan Cease here and Cease is 0-0 with a 13.50 ERA and 5 strikeouts this postseason.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will try to rebound and force a deciding game five after falling just short in a 6-5 decision in game three on Tuesday. A loss here would mean a third consecutive season where the Dodgers were eliminated in the NLDS.

Dodgers Looking To Keep Season Alive

Shohei Ohtani has 197 hits including a team-high 54 home runs, 38 doubles, 7 triples, and 130 RBIs with a .310 batting average while Mookie Betts has 130 hits with 24 doubles, 5 triples, 19 homers, and 75 RBIs of his own. Teoscar Hernandez also has 33 home runs with 99 RBIs and a team-high 188 strikeouts. Betts also has 16 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 59 stolen bases. Freddie Freeman also has 22 home runs and 89 RBIs with 35 doubles and Will Smith has added 24 doubles, 20 home runs, and 75 RBIs. Andy Pages has also chipped in 23 doubles on the year.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Padres have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Petco Park following a home win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in 11 of their last 13 games as underdogs against the Padres following a loss.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres will be out to close out the series and knock the Dodgers out of the playoffs in the NLDS for the second time in three years and make it back to the NLCS at their rival’s expense after picking up the win in game three on Tuesday. If the Padres manage to beat the Dodgers, they will face the Phillies or Mets in the NLCS.

Padres Trying To Take Next Step

Jurickson Profar has 158 hits along with a .280 batting average and 29 doubles with 24 homers and 85 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 83 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 21 home runs, 49 RBIs, and 110 hits as well this season. Manny Machado has 163 hits, 29 home runs, and 105 RBIs but also has 124 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs, and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 24 home runs, 90 RBIs, and 31 doubles with 6 triples this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last seven games at Petco Park.
  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last seven road playoff games.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday games against NL West opponents.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers here. Dylan Cease is a solid option for this Padres’ rotation but at the end of the day, I’m still concerned that he’s been fairly hittable over the last couple of months of the season, including his first start against the Dodgers in this series. I think this series is going five. Give me the Dodgers in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers

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