Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 10/7/24

Pick details

New York Yankees (95-68) vs Kansas City Royals (88-77)

October 7, 2024 at 07:38 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -145 / Kansas City Royals +122 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

The Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees meet Monday in MLB game 2 of the ALDS at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Pick.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals lost game 1 and need a win to have a real shot of playing the Guardians or Tigers. The Royals have lost 10 of their last 16 games. The Kansas City Royals have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 10 of their last 13 games. The Kansas City Royals have split their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Michael Massey leads the Kansas City Royals with 5 hits, while Bobby Witt Jr. and MJ Melendez have combined for 6 hits and 4 RBI.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees hope to take complete control of this series with a win and a 2-0 lead. The Yankees have split their last 8 games. The New York Yankees have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The New York Yankees have won 10 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Juan Soto leads the New York Yankees with 3 hits, while Alex Verdugo and Oswaldo Cabrera have combined for 3 hits and 1 RBI.

Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Pitching Pick Matchup

Cole Ragans gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 11-9 with a 3.14 ERA and 223 strikeouts this season. Ragans is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his postseason career. Ragans is 0-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 16-9 with a 3.96 ERA and 195 strikeouts this season. Rodon is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and 3 strikeouts in his postseason career. Rodon is 4-6 with a 4.66 ERA and 67 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Royals have lost each of their last 14 Monday night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have won eight of their last nine home playoff games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Monday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Monday games as favorites against the Royals.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night playoff games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one total base in 17 of his last 18 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded a hit in each of his last nine appearances in night playoff games.
  • DJ LeMahieu has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against the Royals at Yankee Stadium.
  • Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.701) this season.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Salvador Perez has hit a home run in eight of his last 18 appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Royals’ last five road games against the Yankees.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last 11 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Hunter Renfroe has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances at Yankee Stadium.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 13 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yuli Gurriel has scored at least one run in each of his last three playoff appearances against the Yankees after not playing the previous day.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.588) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (815).
  • The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for RBI’s this season (782).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (35).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 28th in the league for walks this season (429).

Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Prediction

Cole Ragans has been ridiculous as of late, which includes allowing 18 hits and 3 runs in his last 31 innings, and he went 6 shutout innings against the Orioles in the wild card series. It’s enough to give the plus money a look. However, the Royals can’t string together offense, and it’s becoming a large enough trend that could send them packing in the next few days. Rodon has a 3.11 ERA and .204 allowed batting average at Yankee Stadium, and he has a more trustworthy offense backing him up. Ragans will keep the Royals in it, but it takes just one or two swings from the Yankees to get the job done. I’ll lay the reasonable juice. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Yankees -145

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