Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 6/28/24

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New York Mets (39-39) vs Houston Astros (40-40)

June 28, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -105 / Houston Astros -112 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 28th at Citi Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Astros form and recent player performance 

-The Mets recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York

-Recent betting trends in games played between Astros vs Mets

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Astros and Mets. 

Astros Have Won Seven Straight

The Astros have won seven straight games, and they are finally figuring it out. In the last game against the Colorado Rockies, they were able to secure the 7-1 victory. The Astros scored four runs in the 7th inning and that was the difference. Jose Altuve finished with two hits and two RBis. The Astros are averaging 4.58 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.21 runs per game. The offense is ranked 12th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 12th in the league. Kyle Tucker has hit 19 home runs and driven in 40 RBIs. Getting the start for the Astros will be Ronel Blanco, who sits with an 8-2 record and an ERA of 2.34. In his last start against the Baltimore Orioles, he went seven innings, giving up four hits and one run. 

Why the Astros Will Beat the Mets

  • The Astros have won each of their last seven games against the Mets following a win.
  • The Mets have lost six of their last seven home games against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Mets following a win.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Astros following a win.

Mets Swept The Yankees

The Mets swept the two game series against the Yankees, and they have won three games in a row overall. On Wednesday, the Mets scored 12 runs, and they won by ten. Francisco Alvarez and Tyrone Taylor both hit a home run and drove in three RBis. The Mets are averaging 4.81 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.67 runs per game. The offense is ranked 7th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 22nd. Getting the start for the Mets will be Jose Quintana, who sits with a 3-5 record and an ERA of 4.58. In his last start against the Chicago Cubs he went 6.1 innings giving up four hits and one run. 

Why the Mets Will Beat The Astros

  • The underdogs have won each of the Mets’ last six games.
  • The Astros have lost each of their last five road games following a home win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games following a home win.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction

Runs are going to be hard to come by in this game. Blanco has been strong this season, and in his last start he gave up only one run. Quintana gave up only run in his last start, and he’s also going to have a strong start against the Mets. The Mets and Astros are both going to have some major issue getting the offense going here, and this game is going to end up lower scoring. Back the under to cash. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Under

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