Jun 2, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees left fielder Cody Bellinger (35) slides in to second base during the third inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images
Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Guardians vs Yankees Prediction 6/4/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Cleveland Guardians New York Yankees
Team Records 36-27 36-25
Spread +1.5 -149 -1.5 124
Moneyline +141 -171
Total Over 8.5 (-105) Under 8.5 (-115)
Where Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
When Thursday, June 4, 2026
Time 01:35 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 4th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 36-27 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 9-4 and 5-4. In game two, Cleveland took the lead in the fourth inning and never looked back in the very close win. The Guardians recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Hoskins, who went 2-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Williams allowed four hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Smith picked up the save. Prior to this series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Nationals. 

This season, Cleveland has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 263 runs with a .234 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with seven home runs and 32 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added nine home runs and 32 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Slade Cecconi, who is 3-5 with a 5.25 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 61.2 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 36-25 this year after they lost game two by a score of 5-4 last night. New York tied the game at one in the second inning and kept within striking distance, but couldn’t get the job done in the later innings. The Yankees recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Bellinger, who went 0-2 with two RBIs. Cole allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Hill allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Athletics and all three against the Royals. 

This season, New York has a 3.31 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 313 runs with a .241 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with 17 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added 17 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 19.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium following a win.
  • The Yankees have won 11 of their last 13 games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Guardians following a loss.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games at Yankee Stadium against American League opponents.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as home favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last eight games.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Guardians’ last four games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five games as underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four home games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Guardians.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Guardians .
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as underdogs against the Yankees.
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Guardians vs Yankees Prediction 

Cleveland has won the first two games in this series and they will look for the series win here. The Guardians are 19-13 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 17-11 at home. New York has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 28 runs during those four games. The Yankees are starting Rodon, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, while Cecconi has allowed six earned runs and 13 hits in his last 9.1 innings. Take the Yankees -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Yankees -1.5

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