Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9/12/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Detroit Tigers and Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Pick.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 84-63 on the year and play the Guardians, Braves, and Guardians next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .251 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .423 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 146 hits and 107 RBI, while Gleyber Torres and Spencer Torkelson have combined for 244 hits and 143 RBI.

Tarik Skubal gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 13-4 with a 2.10 ERA and 222 strikeouts this season. This will be Skubal’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 68-79 on the year and play the Rockies, Rangers, and Phillies next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and a .393 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 148 hits and 39 RBI while Otto Lopez and Kyle Stowers have combined for 235 hits and 145 RBI.

Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 8-12 with a 5.67 ERA and 123 strikeouts this season. This will be Alcantara’s first career game against the Detroit Tigers.

Detroit Tigers @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 12, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara      Record this season: 8-12      ERA: 5.67
• Home Record: 5-6
• Last 5 against Tigers: –

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Tigers following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Tigers and Marlins.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal      Record this season: 13-4      ERA: 2.10
• Road Record: 4-3
• Last 5 against Marlins: 0-0

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Marlins have lost six of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have won each of their last three games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six Friday road games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Tigers’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Tigers and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Tigers’ last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Sandy Alcantara has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Friday appearances.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Jake Rogers has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jake Rogers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
• Jake Rogers has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites.
• Tarik Skubal ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank T5th in the league for doubles this season (246).
• The Marlins rank 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1146).
• The Tigers are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.
• The Tigers rank 25th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1296).

Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Marlins haven’t been good over the last month and while you’d like to believe in Alcantara, he has a lot of stinkers this season. Alcantara can’t be trusted with his 5.67 ERA and 1.32 WHIP on the season. Skubal is one of the best pitchers in the game with his 2.10 ERA and 0.86 WHIP, and the Tigers have won 6 of his last 7 starts. In 84.2 road innings, Skubal has a 2.02 ERA and .192 allowed batting average. Fun pitching matchup, but I have to lean toward the Tigers for obvious reasons.