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Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 7/9/24
Pick details
Cincinnati Reds (43-48) vs Colorado Rockies (32-59)
July 9, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -165 / Colorado Rockies +140 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 9th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:
- The Rockies recent form and recent player performance
- The Reds recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Colorado
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
- Recent betting trends in games played between Colorado and Cincinnati
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Colorado and Cincinnati
Rockies Try to Cure Road Woes
The Colorado Rockies are 32-59 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Colorado lost the first game in this series, as they failed to score any runs. Prior to this series, the Rockies won two out of three against the Royals, split four games with the Brewers, and lost two out of three against the White Sox. Colorado is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are last in the NL West.
The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.48 ERA, a 1.53 WHIP, and a .288 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 373 runs with a .243 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .274 with 14 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games.
Reds Bounced Back Nicely
The Cincinnati Reds are 43-48 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Cincinnati won the first game in this series by a score of 6-0 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Reds lost all three against the Tigers, swept the Yankees in three games, and split four games with the Cardinals. Cincinnati is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 388 runs with a .226 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .251 with 15 home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has allowed at least four runs in four of their last five games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Cal Quantrill, who is 6-6 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 100.1 innings pitched this year. Quantrill has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Frankie Montas, who is 4-6 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 77.1 innings pitched this season. Montas has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts.
Why the Reds will beat the Rockies
- The Reds have won each of their last seven games against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have lost each of their last 14 Tuesday night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Rockies.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rockies’ last six night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Reds’ last five home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last five games as road underdogs.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in four of the Reds’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last four home games against the Rockies.
- Frankie Montas has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Steer has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last five games.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Rockies.
- Jake Fraley has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Reds as favorites against NL opponents.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Cal Quantrill has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents.
- Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rockies’ last five games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Kris Bryant has hit at least one home run in three of his last six road appearances against the Reds.
- Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Rockies’ last four games as underdogs against the Reds.
- Ryan McMahon has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Rockies’ last four night games.
- Cal Quantrill has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
- Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one Double in three of the Rockies’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Elias Diaz has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati was able to throw a shutout in game one of this series to snap a three game losing streak and they will look to make it two in a row here. The Reds are 21-26 at home this year, while the Rockies are just 12-32 on the road. Colorado has been somewhat competitive at home this season, but they have been really bad on the road. The Rockies pitching staff has the worst team ERA in the MLB and even though Quantrill has been decent, I can’t trust their bullpen at all. My Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for the Reds to win by at least two runs.