Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 8/18/24

The Cleveland Guardians and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction. This will be the last installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Guardians vs Brewers pick. We will examine:

The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance

The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Guardians and Brewers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Guardians vs Brewers game

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

In their last series versus the Chicago Cubs, Cleveland cruised to a sweep with wins 9-8, 2-1 and 6-1. The opener versus the Brewers was a loss however, as the Guardians fell 5-3 Friday. In Saturday’s matchup, Cleveland took a loss 2-1. Tanner Bibee managed 5.0 innings and one earned run in the start.

Ben Lively will start the game for the Guardians on Sunday. So far this year Lively is 10-7 with a 3.71 ERA in 21 starts. Over 66 career games (53 starts) Lively is 18-24 with a 4.57 ERA.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Over on the Brewers’ side, they took on the Los Angeles Dodgers this week. Milwaukee lost the first two games of that set before coming back for wins 5-4 and 6-4 in the remaining pair. On Saturday the Brewers got a solo homer from William Contreras. Starter Freddy Peralta lasted 6.0 innings with one earned run.

It’ll be Colin Rea in the starter role for the Brewers on Sunday. This year Rea is 10-4 with a 3.72 ERA and 103 strikeouts.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last four day games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Guardians’ last seven road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six road games against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four home games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Brice Turang has recorded an RBI in four of the Brewers’ last five home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Willy Adames has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• William Contreras has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded a Single in each of his four previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Guardians as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances with the Guardians as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last eight Sunday day games as underdogs.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
• Josh Naylor has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances with the Guardians as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’ll probably just stick with the Guardians. Lively does need a better outing than his last two, though. In that pair Lively is 0-1 with seven earned runs in 8.2 innings on nine hits and eight walks. Lively did notch 6.0 innings and two earned in a win over Baltimore on August 1, though.

On Saturday the Guardians were only able to post four hits, but also gave up only four on the mound. Cleveland needs to get it together on offense Sunday but I think the pitching will hold up.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Cleveland Guardians -103