Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 7/10/24

Pick details

Detroit Tigers (42-48) vs Cleveland Guardians (56-32)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 10, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Comerica Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +122 / Cleveland Guardians -144 — Over/Under: 7.5

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The Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cleveland Guardians will send out Tanner Bibee for the start here and Bibee is 7-3 with a 3.67 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bibee is 0-2 with a 7.82 ERA and 13 strikeouts against Detroit. Reese Olson will start for Detroit here and Olson is 3-8 with a 3.22 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. This will be Olson’s second career start against Cleveland.

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to build on their 9-8 win over the Tigers in Tuesday’s matchup, evening the series up at one win apiece. The win got the Guardians back on track, looking to build on series wins over the Giants and White Sox over the last week.

Guardians Trying To Hold On Atop AL Central

Going into Tuesday’s matchup, Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 93 hits as well as 23 home runs and 76 RBIs while Josh Naylor also has 21 home runs and 66 RBIs of his own. Ramirez has a team-high 18 doubles while Tyler Freeman has 12 doubles and Andres Gimenez has 41 RBIs with 14 stolen bases while the aforementioned Ramirez has a team-high 16 stolen bases on the year.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last nine games at Comerica Park after going to extra innings.
  • The Guardians have won each of their last five games at Comerica Park after going to extra innings.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games after going to extra innings.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last four night games at Comerica Park after going to extra innings.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers will try to bounce back from their loss to the Guardians after falling just short on Tuesday. The Tigers could really use a win to keep the ball rolling after sweeping the Cincinnati Reds this past weekend.

Tigers Trying To Stay Afloat In AL Playoff Hunt

Entering Tuesday, Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 85 hits including 17 home runs and 45 RBIs along with 17 doubles, 5 triples, a .258 batting average and a .353 OBP in addition to a team-high 100 strikeouts this season. Mark Canha has 14 doubles, 6 home runs and 34 RBI and Javier Baez has a team-high 6 stolen bases. Matt Vierling also has 71 hits as well as 5 triples while Wenceel Perez has 5 triples and 6 stolen bases of his own. Kerry Carpenter has 10 doubles and 4 triples of his own with 29 RBIs.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Guardians have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites after going to extra innings.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Guardians following a loss.

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

Give me Cleveland here. I know things got a little bit dicey late for the Guardians, but the Guardians still held on and you have two pitchers that have had opposite levels of success this season. The Guardians have won a ton of games where Bibee has been the starter, while Olson’s had a hard time getting run support and the Tigers have lost a lot of Olson’s starts despite him pitching really well more often than not this season. In the end, I trust the Guardians’ lineup and bullpen way more than Detroit’s, so give me Cleveland here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Cleveland -144

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