Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 6/11/24

The Cleveland Guardians and the Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the first installment in a two-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance

• The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Guardians and Reds

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Guardians vs Reds game

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over the weekend, the Guardians took on the Miami Marlins. Cleveland lost the first installment of that set 3-2, but came back for wins in the remaining pair 8-0 and 6-3. In the Sunday finale, Guardians starter Carlos Carrasco put up 4.2 innings with two earned on four hits.

For the starter gig in the Tuesday matchup, Cleveland will send out Triston McKenzie. This year McKenzie is 2-3 with a 4.16 ERA in 12 starts. He’s got 61 Ks in 62.2 innings. McKenzie is 20-27 with a 3.81 ERA in 80 games (76 starts).

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they took on the Chicago Cubs in their last series. Cincinnati was able to take wins in the first three games 8-4, 3-2 and 4-3. The Reds ended up falling 4-2 in the Sunday finale, though. Frankie Montas gave up four earned in 1.1 innings on five hits and three walks in the defeat.

Cincinnati will send out Brent Suter for the starting pitcher role Tuesday. Suter has a 3.86 ERA and 28 Ks without a decision so far this year.

Guardians vs Reds Injury Notes

Reds RP Emilio Pagan was placed on the 15-day Injured List Sunday due to a right lat strain.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Reds’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Guardians’ last four games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three home games against AL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Jake Fraley has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Guardians.
• TJ Friedl has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
• Jake Fraley has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
• Jonathan India has scored a run in each of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
• Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in five of the Guardians’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
• Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in eight of the Guardians’ last nine road games.

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’ll likely lean toward the Reds here. Much of that is due to McKenzie’s recent struggles. Over his last three starts, McKenzie has coughed up 12 earned runs in 15.1 innings total on 20 hits and eight walks. If he can’t find a good groove early in this one, Cleveland could be in trouble.

The Reds had a pretty solid weekend series versus the Cubs, scoring 17 runs in four games. If Cincinnati can bag a few scores early here they’ll be in good shape.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Cincinnati Reds +105