Pick details
| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 36-39 | 46-29 |
| Spread | -1.5 163 | +1.5 -199 |
| Moneyline | -102 | -118 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Sunday, June 21, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 36-39 on the year and play the Pirates and Brewers next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 229 on the season, have a .312 OBP, and have a .395 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP. Sal Stewart leads the Cincinnati Reds with 71 hits and 53 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have combined for 126 hits and 68 RBI.
Chase Burns gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 8-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. This will be Burns’ second career game against the New York Yankees.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 46-29 on the year and play the Red Sox and Tigers next. The New York Yankees are batting .246 on the season and have a .332 OBP and a .440 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.34 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 75 hits and 52 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 133 hits and 80 RBI.
Elmer Rodriguez gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s first career game against the Cincinnati Reds.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have lost four of their last five day games following a win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Sunday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The underdogs have won five of the Reds’ last six games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last four road games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Reds and Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the last six games between the Reds and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Reds’ last six day games at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Jazz Chisholm has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances at Yankee Stadium against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
- Ben Rice ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (21) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three road games against the Yankees.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 appearances against AL opponents.
- Chase Burns ranks T5th in the league for Wins (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.34).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (68).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for triples this season (6).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (706).
Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are going to be favored because they’re at home and they’re the Yankees. However, Rodriguez has just 13 career innings under his belt, and I like my pitchers with a larger sample size. Burns is an all-star this season and a CY Young candidate in the NL. Through 80.2 innings, Burns has a 2.01 ERA and 1.02 WHIP with 95 strikeouts. The Reds have won 6 of the last 7 games Burns has pitched, and he’s allowed 14 hits and 4 runs in his last 16.1 innings. Burns has a 2.04 ERA and a .194 allowed batting average on the road. I’ll take a shot with the Reds and the plus money.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Cincinnati Reds
