Jun 20, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA;  New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) hits a single in the sixth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction 06/23/2025 Picks

Pick details

New York (45-32) vs Cincinnati (40-38)

June 23, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati +105 — Over/Under: +10

(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and the Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Allan Winans for the start here and Winans was 0-2 with a 15.26 ERA and 4 strikeouts last season. This will be Winans’ second career start against the Reds. The Cincinnati Reds will start Nick Lodolo here and Lodolo is 5-5 with a 3.71 ERA and 74 strikeouts. This will be Lodolo’s first career start against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to build on their 4-2 win over the Baltimore Orioles from Sunday’s series finale to improve to 45-32 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Athletics.

Yankees Looking To Build On Series Win

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 105 hits including 27 home runs, 61 RBIs, 18 doubles and a .367 batting average along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 20 doubles with 8 stolen bases, 9 home runs and 41 RBIs while Jasson Dominguez has added 11 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 82 hits with 15 doubles and a .298 batting average while Volpe also has 76 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 54 hits with 12 doubles, 13 home runs and 28 RBIs while Cody Bellinger has 10 homers with 38 RBIs and Austin Wells has 11 home runs and 44 RBIs with Bellinger logging 12 doubles and Wells chipping in 12 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 15 home runs and 31 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

The road team has won each of the last seven games between the Yankees and Reds.
The Reds have lost seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the last nine games between the Yankees and Reds.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against American League opponents following a road win.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in five of the Yankees’ last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances.
Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 12 of the Yankees’ last 13 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (105) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to build on their 4-1 win over the Cardinals from Sunday’s series finale to sit at 40-38 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head home for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Reds Looking To Build Momentum

Elly De La Cruz has 79 hits with 17 home runs, 52 RBIs, 15 doubles and 21 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 82 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 30 RBIs with 9 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 60 hits with 14 doubles and 33 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 6 home runs and 25 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 9 homers, 27 RBIs and 11 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 17 doubles as well this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Reds have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The Yankees have lost each of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against National League opponents following a win.
The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against American League opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five games as underdogs.
Will Benson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances with the Reds as home underdogs.
TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.
Jose Trevino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against AL opponents.
Elly De La Cruz ranks T5th in the league in Steals (21) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Yankees’ last 11 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Reds’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’m on the Yankees here. I do have my concerns about Allan Winans making his season debut and Winans hasn’t really been a major league caliber starting pitching option for the better part of his career. That being said, Nick Lodolo’s major issues this season have come at home and this Yankee lineup has been known to do some damage against left-handed pitching so I’ going to side with the Yankees on the road in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York Yankees -125

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