Jun 11, 2025; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins center fielder Byron Buxton (25) hits a double during the fifth inning against the Texas Rangers at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Johnson-Imagn Images

Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 06/18/2025 Picks

Pick details

Minnesota (36-36) vs Cincinnati (38-35)

June 18, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati -115 — Over/Under: 9

(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Cincinnati Reds meet Wednesday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Bailey Ober for the start here and Ober is 4-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. In his career, Ober is 0-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Cincinnati. The Cincinnati Reds will trot out Nick Lodolo for the start here and Lodolo is 4-5 with a 3.76 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. This will be Lodolo’s first career start against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to rebound from a 6-5 loss to the Reds in Tuesday’s series opener to drop to 38-36 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Twins Lose 5th Straight

Byron Buxton has 56 hits along with 8 doubles, a team-high 11 home runs and 41 RBIs with 12 stolen bases and 3 triples while Carlos Correa has 54 hits with 13 doubles and Willi Castro has 51 hits with 11 doubles as well. Harrison Bader’s added 6 home runs and 24 RBIs while Buxton’s contributed a team-high 66 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 68 hits, 11 doubles, 5 home runs and 37 RBIs and Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 63 hits with 9 doubles, 10 home runs and 32 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Reds have lost each of their last seven Wednesday home games.
The Twins have won four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday home games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances with the Twins against NL opponents.
Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 10 games against NL opponents.
Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against former teams.
Willi Castro has recorded a Double in four of the Twins’ last five games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last six games against NL opponents.
Bailey Ober has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to build on their series-opening win over Minnesota to sit at 38-35 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head on the road for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Reds Win 3 Straight & 8 Of Their Last 10

Elly De La Cruz has 75 hits with 16 home runs, 50 RBIs, 14 doubles and 20 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 75 hits with 11 doubles, 8 home runs and 26 RBIs with 9 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 59 hits with a team-high 14 doubles and 29 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 5 home runs and 22 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 8 homers, 25 RBIs and 11 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 15 doubles as well this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Twins have lost each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Reds have won each of their last five home games against American League opponents.
The Reds have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 12 night games.
Will Benson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last five games.
Elly De La Cruz ranks T4th in the league in Steals (21) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Reds’ last five games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Twins’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’m on the Reds here. The Twins are just falling flat right now and the Reds are beating up on righties right now. Bailey Ober’s been giving up runs and homers in bunches as of late and I just think that it’s likely going to get worse for Minnesota before it gets better. Nick Lodolo hasn’t been stellar at Great American Ballpark but I think he’s good enough to get the win here. Give me the Reds in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Cincinnati -115

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