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Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 6/14/24
Pick details
Milwaukee Brewers (40-28) vs Cincinnati Reds (33-35)
June 14, 2024 at 08:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -139 / Cincinnati Reds +118 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Cincinnati Reds will start Hunter Greene here and Greene is 4-2 with a 3.61 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Brewers, Greene is 0-4 with an 8.25 ERA and 36 strikeouts. Freddy Peralta will get the start for the Brewers and is 4-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Reds, Peralta is 3-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 37 strikeouts.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this one looking to build some momentum after a series split with the Cleveland Guardians after a 4-2 win in Wednesday’s series finale. The split kept Cincinnati’s series unbeaten run going after taking out the Cubs and Rockies over the last week and a half.
Reds Still Rolling At The Plate
Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 57 hits, 11 home runs and 29 RBIs with 34 stolen bases along with a .228 batting average as well. Spencer Steer has a team-high 41 RBIs with 15 doubles and 12 stolen bases while Will Benson also has 12 doubles with 9 stolen bases but also has 87 strikeouts while De La Cruz has a team-high 92 strikeouts so far this season. Jeimer Candelario also has a team-leading 15 doubles as well this season for Cincinnati.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Reds and Brewers.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Reds following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Reds and Brewers.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last nine games as favorites.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this one looking to build on their series win over the Toronto Blue Jays after a 5-4 win in Wednesday’s series finale. The series triumph gives the Brewers back-to-back series wins after knocking off the Detroit Tigers last weekend.
Brewers Still Trying To Find Offensive Consistency
William Contreras leads the Brewers with 83 hits including 17 doubles and 47 RBIs along with 8 home runs and a .370 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has 10 home runs with 28 RBIs and Willy Adames has a team-high 17 doubles with 11 home runs and 47 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 24 stolen bases while Adames has a team-high 64 strikeouts as well this season.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last seven games against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have won each of their last nine Friday games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against National League opponents.
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’m on the Reds here. I like the Brewers and what they’ve put together and Greene’s had his issues in his career against the Brew Crew, but Cincinnati’s hot right now and Peralta’s been hittable in his own right. It’s not going to be a runaway by any stretch, but I think in the end, the Reds get a win to keep the momentum going here. Give me Cincinnati.