Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 9/28/24

Pick details

Chicago Cubs (82-78) vs Cincinnati Reds (76-84)

September 28, 2024 at 02:20 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -130 / Cincinnati Reds +110 — Over/Under: 7.5

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The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 76-84 on the year after playing the Pirates and Guardians next. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 3 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Cincinnati Reds have lost 9 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 159 hits and 74 RBI, while Jonathan India and Spencer Steer have combined for 260 hits and 150 RBI.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 82-78 on the year after playing the Nationals and Phillies. The Chicago Cubs have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Chicago Cubs have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 158 hits and 48 RBI, while Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ have combined for 279 hits and 159 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Pick Matchup

Rhett Lowder gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 2-2 with a 1.40 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Lowder has allowed 20 hits and 3 runs in his last 21.2 innings. Lowder has a 2.61 ERA and .282 allowed batting average in 10.1 road innings. This will be Lowder’s first career game against the Chicago Cubs.

Kyle Hendricks gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 4-12 with a 6.28 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Hendricks has allowed 20 hits and 9 runs in his last 20.2 innings. Hendricks has a 5.30 ERA and .300 allowed batting average in 56 home innings. Hendricks is 9-6 with a 4.30 ERA and 127 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The Cubs have lost each of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Reds and Cubs.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 16 of their last 17 games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Hendricks has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Reds.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last eight home games against the Reds.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight home games against the Reds.
  • Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in four of the Cubs’ last seven games against NL Central opponents.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded a Double in each of the Cubs’ last three games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Nico Hoerner has scored at least one run in seven of the Cubs’ last eight games against the Reds at Wrigley Field.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Reds at Wrigley Field.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four road appearances against the Cubs.
  • Spencer Steer has scored at least one run in eight of his last 10 road appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last six games as underdogs against the Cubs.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Cubs.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last four games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Spencer Steer has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three games at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Not sure how the Cincinnati Reds are the underdog in this spot. Neither team has anything to play for and while the Cubs are at home, Kyle Hendricks has been a mess this season, especially at Wrigley. Rhett Lowder has just 5 career starts under his belt, but he’s been fantastic in those frames, and he’s gone at least 5 innings in his last 4 starts while not allowing a run in 4 of them. I’ll gladly take the Reds and the more favorable price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cincinnati Reds +110

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