Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, April 14th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 8-8 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL East. They have a 5-5 home record and are coming off a 13-7 home win against the Cubs. Their previous three games were a 3-4 home loss, a 4-3 home win, and a 4-5 home loss against the Diamondbacks.

The Phillies have a .233 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .383 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Justin Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .306 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 12, also adding a team‑high 6 home runs.

Aaron Nola (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 1-1 record, 3.63 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 7-9 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL Central. They have a 3-4 away record and are coming off a 7-13 road loss against the Phillies. Their previous three games were a 7-6 home win, and a 4-3 and a 0-2 home loss against the Pirates.

The Cubs have a .229 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .361 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Carson Kelly is the team’s best hitter with a .317 batting average. Nico Hoerner leads the team in RBI with 10, and Ian Happ adds a team‑high 4 home runs.

Riley Martin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 0-0 record, 0.00 ERA and 0.60 WHIP.

The Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: April 14, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 3.63
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Cubs: 3-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Cubs have lost each of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have won each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against the Cubs at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday games as home favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Riley Martin      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 0.00
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Phillies: –

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Phillies have lost nine of their last 11 games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Cubs have won seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs’ last four night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Cubs and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with the Phillies as favorites against the Cubs.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (6) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Nico Hoerner ranks T9th in the league in Steals (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank T2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (39).
• The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (164).
• The Cubs rank 4th in the league for walks this season (77).
• The Cubs rank T4th in the league for hits allowed this season (116).

Cubs vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Cubs and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Philladelphia.

In this Cubs vs Phillies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -150 home favorites. Nola takes the mound for the Phillies and he has given up three runs in two of his three starts this season. The Cubs are going for a bullpen game and they have a better bullpen ERA than the Phillies and also a better offense, and are even better against righties, while the Phillies are weaker against lefties. I will take a stab with the Cubs and the plus money in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Chicago Cubs ML