Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction 07/11/2025 Picks

The Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 55-38 on the year and play the Red Sox, Royals, and White Sox next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .257 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and a .448 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Chicago Cubs with 98 hits and 70 RBI, while Kyle Tucker and Nico Hoerner have combined for 195 hits and 94 RBI. 

Chris Flexen gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 5-0 with a 0.83 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. Flexen is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 52-41 on the year and play the Braves, Blue Jays, and Phillies next. The New York Yankees are batting .257 on the season, have a .338 OBP, and a .455 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 122 hits and 78 RBI while Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger have combined for 185 hits and 82 RBI.

Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 9-6 with a 3.30 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. Rodon is 2-4 with a 3.44 ERA and 55 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the New York Yankees will win

The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight road games following a win.
The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against American League opponents following a win.
The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games.
The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
The Cubs have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Yankee Stadium against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
The Cubs have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against National League opponents following a win.
The Cubs have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL opponents.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances.
Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances at Yankee Stadium.
Jazz Chisholm has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Yankees as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Nico Hoerner has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Kyle Tucker has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.

Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees should get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home and Rodon is on the mound, but I like the Cubs. The Cubs have the offensive horses to take advantage of this little league park, and Flexen has been ridiculous this season, relief pitcher or not. Flexen has a 0.83 ERA and 0.86 WHIP, and he’s allowed seven hits and one run in his last 9.2 innings. The Yankees have also lost five of their last six games Rodon has pitched. Give me the Cubs to draw first blood on Friday.