Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction 6/25/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Chicago Cubs and the New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send out Matthew Boyd for the start in this one and Boyd is 2-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Freddy Peralta will start for the Mets and is 5-6 with a 4.83 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. 

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to add on to their doubleheader sweep of the Mets on Wednesday, winning game one 10-3 before a 10-5 win in game two to improve to 43-37 this season. After this series, the Cubs will head on the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Cubs Win 6 Of Last 8

Ian Happ has 65 hits with 15 doubles and 16 home runs and 37 RBIs while Alex Bregman has 75 hits with 10 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 25 RBIs. Nico Hoerner’s added 76 hits with 21 doubles, 4 home runs and 35 RBIs and Moises Ballesteros has 36 hits with 6 home runs and 23 RBIs. Pete Crow-Armstrong’s also added 86 hits with 12 doubles, 4 triples, 17 home runs and 44 RBIs as well on the year. Carson Kelly has also contributed 52 hits with 9 doubles, 4 home runs and 29 RBIs. Michael Busch has 69 hits wtih 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 44 RBIs. Dansby Swanson also has 51 hits with 11 home runs and 46 RBIs.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets will be out to shake off their losses at the hands of the Cubs on Wednesday to sit at 34-46 this season. After this series, the Mets will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in a series at home.

Mets Lose 5 Straight

Juan Soto has 66 hits with 7 doubles, 17 home runs and 38 RBIs. Brett Baty has 50 hits with 9 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 26 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 62 hits with 8 doubles, 9 home runs and 29 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 82 hits with 12 doubles, 10 home runs and 45 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 42 hits with 5 doubles and 8 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 73 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 9 home runs and 30 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 48 hits with 9 doubles, 10 home runs and 33 RBIs.

The Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets Betting Trends: June 25, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta      Record this season: 5-6      ERA: 4.83
• Home Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Cubs: 2-3

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last eight Thursday games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have lost four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Thursday games as home underdogs.
• The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last five Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Matthew Boyd      Record this season: 2-1      ERA: 6.00
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Mets: 2-0

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won each of their last 11 games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost each of their last 13 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Thursday road games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last five games between the Cubs and Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Alvarez has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five home games against NL Central opponents.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against the Cubs.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six Thursday appearances.
• Francisco Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.
• Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.570) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit a home run in five of the Cubs’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 13 games.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (98).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (353).
• The Cubs rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (121).

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Prediction

I’m on the Mets here. I think Freddy Peralta is a better pitcher than what he’s shown to this point and gets a decent matchup here against the Cubs who haven’t been the hottest against righties in June. On the other side, Matthew Boyd is making his first start with the Cubs since April and the Mets have been really strong against lefties in the month of June as well. I think it’s a good spot for the Mets to avoid the sweep, so give me the Mets.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York -105