Pick details
| MATCHUP | Chicago Cubs | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 45-38 | 50-30 |
| Spread | +1.5 -112 | -1.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +179 | -219 |
| Total | Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Sunday, June 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 45-38 on the year and play the Padres and Cardinals next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .242 on the season and have a .336 OBP and a .404 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs’ pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Chicago Cubs with 88 hits and 45 RBI, while Alex Bregman and Nico Hoerner have combined for 155 hits and 63 RBI.
Ryan Rolison gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 5-1 with a 1.82 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Rolison is 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA and 1 strikeout in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 50-30 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Reds next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 253 on the season, have a .337 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 89 hits and 50 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 138 hits and 95 RBI.
Brandon Woodruff gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Woodruff is 2-3 with a 3.28 ERA and 112 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 10 day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Brewers have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Cubs have won six of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The road team has covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Cubs and Brewers.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Cubs’ last seven games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last three games has gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last four day games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the last six games between the Cubs and Brewers at American Family Field.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against the Cubs.
- William Contreras has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games against the Cubs at American Family Field.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games as home favorites against NL opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last four games at American Family Field.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.42).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.220).
- The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.336).
- The Cubs rank T5th in the league for runs scored this season (409).
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home, and we know what Woodruff is capable of when he’s right. Woodruff has a 0.89 WHIP through 36 innings. However, we’re getting more than 1.5 times our money with a solid Cubs team and a pitcher in Rolison who has a 1.82 ERA and 1.11 WHIP through 29.2 innings. Sure, Rolison is a relief pitcher who isn’t going to go deep into games, but he hasn’t allowed a run in his last 13 innings, and the Cubs are 5-4 with him on the mound this month. This line feels disrespectful towards the Cubs. I’ll take the road dog.
