Brewers vs Nationals Prediction 5/3/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 3rd at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 18-14 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-1 and 4-1. In game two, Milwaukee jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first inning and they never looked back in the victory. The Brewers recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lockridge, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Harrison allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Uribe picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.56 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 170 runs with a .242 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Brice Turang has led the Brewers with four home runs and 20 RBIs, while Jake Bauers has added five home runs and 19 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Chad Patrick, who is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 28.0 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 15-19 this season after they lost game two by a score of 4-1 on Saturday afternoon. Washington cut the deficit to 4-1 in the fourth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Nationals recorded nine hits and they committed two errors, while they were led by Abrams, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Griffin allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Lord allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Mets and two out of three against the White Sox. 

This season, Washington has a 4.90 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while they have scored 177 runs with a .239 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with eight home runs and 27 RBIs, while James Wood has added 10 home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Zack Littell, who is 0-4 with a 7.85 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won seven of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Brewers have lost eight of their last 12 games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last seven games against the Nationals following a win.
• The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight games at Nationals Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Nationals Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games at Nationals Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games at Nationals Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Nationals’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Brewers’ last 16 games as favorites against the Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last six games at Nationals Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as road favorites.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in five of his last 17 appearances against the Brewers.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.

Brewers vs Nationals Prediction 

Milwaukee comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep and they have won three games in a row. The Brewers are 8-6 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 3-12 at home. Washington is one of the highest scoring teams in the MLB this year, but they have scored one run in games one and two. The Nationals are starting Littell, who has allowed 18 earned runs in his last three games, while Patrick has been very good this year. Take the Brewers to get another win here.

David Racey's Pick: Brewers ML