Brewers vs Mets Prediction 8/27/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 27th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 82-51 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 2-3 and 8-1. In game two, Milwaukee scored seven runs in the first four innings and picked up the easy win. The Brewers recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Turang, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. May only recorded one out, while Gasser picked up the win in long relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Mariners. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.39 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they have scored 660 runs with a .254 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 23 home runs and 75 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 17 home runs and 78 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jacob Misiorowski, who is 13-5 with a 1.68 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP over 145.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 60-73 this year after they lost game two by a score of 1-8 on Wednesday night. New York scored once in the fourth inning, but that was the only offense they could find in the ugly loss. The Mets recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Alvarez, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Stock allowed 10 hits and seven earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while McDermott allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the White Sox, but did win two out of three against the Padres before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.08 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 550 runs with a .237 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 4-5 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 117.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the last 10 games between the Brewers and Mets at Citi Field.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against NL opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against NL opponents following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 games at Citi Field.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won five of their last six games at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost five of their last six home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in 20 of their last 24 games at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Twelve of the Mets’ last 14 home games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Brewers’ last seven games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last seven games as road favorites.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Luis Robert has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Francisco Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Sean Manaea has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
• Jake Bauers has hit a home run in each of his last three Thursday night appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Brewers as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.68) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 24th in the league for RBIs this season (526).
• The Mets rank 24th in the league for batting average this season (.237).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (551).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.39).

Brewers vs Mets Prediction

Milwaukee bounced back from a loss in game one with a blowout win in game two and they have allowed one run in three of their last five games. The Brewers are 37-27 on the road this year, while the Mets are 31-36 at home. New York has alternated wins and losses over their last eight games, but they have allowed two runs in two of their last three. The Mets are starting Manaea, who has allowed four earned runs in back to back starts, while Misiorowski has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Brewers -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Brewers -1.5