Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 9/24/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays meet Wednesday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 86-71 on the year and play the Tigers next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .255 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .422 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Trevor Story leads the Boston Red Sox with 157 hits and 95 RBI, while Jarren Duran and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 285 hits and 142 RBI.

Garrett Crochet gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 17-5 with a 2.69 ERA and 249 strikeouts this season. Crochet is 3-1 with a 1.31 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 90-67 on the year and play the Rays next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .266 on the season, have a .334 OBP, and a .425 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 181 hits and 94 RBI while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer have combined for 316 hits and 163 RBI.

Max Scherzer gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 5-4 with a 5.06 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. Scherzer is 5-6 with a 5.67 ERA and 80 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: September 24, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer      Record this season: 5-4      ERA: 5.06
• Home Record: 3-0
• Last 5 against Red Sox: 3-2

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last 11 games as home underdogs.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home underdogs against American League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Garrett Crochet      Record this season: 17-5      ERA: 2.69
• Road Record: 12-2
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 3-1

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won six of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Blue Jays’ last 13 games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games as home underdogs against the Red Sox.
• Max Scherzer has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 13 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• George Springer ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.306) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 12 Wednesday night games as favorites.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Trevor Story has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Garrett Crochet ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (17) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.334).
• The Blue Jays rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (285).
• The Red Sox rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.255).
• The Red Sox are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Red Sox are fighting for wild card positioning, and Crochet is a top-10 pitcher in baseball this season. You can also argue Crochet has been better on the road this season, where he has a 2.42 ERA and .219 allowed batting average in 108 innings. The Blue Jays picked the wrong week to fall apart, as they’re losing games and allowing the Yankees back in the AL East race. Scherzer still looks like a shell of himself, allowing 14 hits and 13 runs in 10 innings in the month of September. Scherzer has allowed 17 runs in his last 14 innings. The Red Sox are playing the better ball and have a clear edge on the mound Wednesday night. Give me the Red Sox.