Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/16/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers meet Wednesday in MLB action at Globe Life Field. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 82-69 on the year and play the Rays and Guardians next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .248 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and have a .403 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 151 hits and 70 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Willson Contreras have combined for 264 hits and 153 RBI.

Jake Bennett gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 9-7 with a 3.69 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. This will be Bennett’s first career game against the Texas Rangers.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 75-76 on the year and play the Mets and Blue Jays next. The Texas Rangers are batting .243 on the season, with a .317 OBP and a .399 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers’ pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Brandon Nimmo leads the Texas Rangers with 146 hits and 60 RBI, while Ezequiel Duran and Jake Burger have combined for 255 hits and 163 RBI.

MacKenzie Gore gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 8-11 with a 4.62 ERA and 172 strikeouts this season. Gore is 0-1 with a 1.46 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four night games against AL West opponents.
• The home team has won five of the last six games between the Red Sox and Rangers.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last five games against AL opponents.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against the Red Sox.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Red Sox at Globe Life Field.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last three games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight night games against the Rangers following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against the Rangers following a road loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Wednesday night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Red Sox’s last 10 games against AL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rangers’ last four games as favorites against the Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of MacKenzie Gore’s last six appearances as a starter.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Danny Jansen has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
• MacKenzie Gore has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his four previous home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Nick Sogard has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games as road underdogs.
• Jake Bennett has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Jake Bennett has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank T24th in the league for doubles this season (218).
• The Rangers rank 24th in the league for RBIs this season (607).
• The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (436).
• The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (147).

Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Both teams are fighting for a playoff spot; the Red Sox probably have the edge with Bennett on the mound, who has a 3.69 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. The Rangers have been a bit more hit or miss, and Gore has been less reliable with his 4.62 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. However, this is a pick ’em price, and with no bang for my buck, I’d lean Rangers because of home field. Again, this is a playoff atmosphere, and with no edge in the price, I’d back the home team.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Texas Rangers