Pick details
| MATCHUP | Boston Red Sox | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 44-48 | 40-55 |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Saturday, July 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 44-48 on the year and play the Rays and Orioles next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .245 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and have a .389 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 94 hits and 39 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Willson Contreras have combined for 181 hits and 104 RBI.
The Boston Red Sox didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time of this writing.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 40-55 on the year and play the Phillies and Brewers next. The New York Mets are batting .235 on the season, have a .304 OBP, and have a .384 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 97 hits and 51 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 173 hits and 88 RBI.
Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 5-7 with a 4.68 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 0-1 with a 5.91 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last four home games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last seven games.
- The Mets have lost three of their last four games against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Red Sox following a loss.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against AL East opponents.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last five day games against National League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 13 of the Red Sox’s last 14 road games against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last five games against American League opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Freddy Peralta has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Tyrone Taylor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two day games.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Wilyer Abreu has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox’s last three games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets continue to disappoint and aren’t a team I’m excited to get behind. Peralta has also been hittable with his 4.68 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Peralta has allowed 28 hits and 16 earned runs in his last 17 innings. The Red Sox have won 7 straight games and 12 of their last 14 games overall. I don’t care who takes the mound for the Red Sox, they’re as hot as any team in baseball right now. The Mets still suck. Give me the Red Sox to keep things rolling.
