Pick details
| MATCHUP | Boston Red Sox | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-5 | 5-2 |
| Where | Daikin Park, Houston, Texas | |
| When | Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Boston Red Sox and the Houston Astros meet Wednesday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Boston Red Sox will send out Garrett Crochet for the start here and Crochet is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Mike Burrows will get the nod for the Astros here and Burrows is 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season.
Boston Red Sox Recap
The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to bounce back from their 9-2 loss at the hands of the Astros on Tuesday to sit at 1-4 this season. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for a series against San Diego.
Red Sox Lose 4th In A Row
Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 8 hits including 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 5 RBIs while Trevor Story has a homer and 2 RBIs and Marcelo Mayer’s added 3 hits with a pair of doubles as well. Roman Anthony has 4 hits so far this season while Carlos Narvaez has added 4 hits and Connor Wong has a pair of doubles.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their win over Boston from Tuesday’s game to improve to 4-2 this season. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Athletics.
Astros Pick Up Fourth Straight Win
Yordan Alvarez has 8 hits with a pair of doubles, 3 home runs and 6 RBIs while Christian Walker has 7 hits with 5 doubles and 6 RBIs of his own. Isaac Paredes has 4 hits with 3 doubles and 4 RBIs while Carlos Correa has 7 hits with a double and 4 RBIs. Jose Altuve and Yainer Diaz each have 3 RBIs as well this season.
Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: April 1, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Mike Burrows Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 7.94
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Red Sox: 0-0
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
- The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Red Sox and Astros.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have covered the run line each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Garrett Crochet Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 0.00
- Road Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Astros: 0-2
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Astros have lost each of their last five day games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Red Sox have won each of their last four day games against the Astros following a road loss.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Astros following a road loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 14 home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Astros at Daikin Park.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last five games as underdogs against the Red Sox have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the last 14 games between the Red Sox and Astros at Daikin Park.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three home games against AL East opponents.
- Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Wilyer Abreu has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two day games.
- Roman Anthony has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Garrett Crochet ranks T1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (0.00) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (39).
- The Astros rank T1st in the league for hits this season (55).
- The Red Sox rank 27th in the league for RBIs this season (12).
- The Red Sox rank T27th in the league for home runs allowed this season (9).
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Prediction
I’m on the Red Sox here. I just think the Red Sox have a clear pitching edge with Crochet getting the start here and while the Red Sox have been struggling, it feels like Crochet is the stopper as he was dominant in debut and was responsible for the lone win the Red Sox have so far this season. Houston’s up against it here with Mike Burrows pitching, and I think the Red Sox pick up the win when all is said and done. Give me Boston.
Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Boston -155
