Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 7/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and Chicago White Sox meet Thursday in MLB action at Rate Field. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction. This article will include a Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 42-48 on the year and play the Mets next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .245 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .388 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 93 hits and 39 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Willson Contreras have combined for 177 hits and 102 RBI.

Patrick Sandoval gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he was 2-8 with a 5.08 ERA and 81 strikeouts in the 2024 season. Sandoval is 0-3 with a 7.63 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago White Sox.

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 47-44 on the year and play the Athletics next. The Chicago White Sox are batting .239 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and have a .411 slugging percentage. The Chicago White Sox pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Chase Meidroth leads the Chicago White Sox with 88 hits and 29 RBI, while Sam Antonacci and Miguel Vargas have combined for 152 hits and 81 RBI.

Anthony Kay gets the ball for the Chicago White Sox, and he is 6-3 with a 4.29 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. Kay is 1-0 with a 5.63 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The White Sox have won eight of their last nine games at Rate Field following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five day games at Rate Field following a win.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Rate Field following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against the White Sox following a win.
• The White Sox have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a road win.
• The White Sox have lost each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against AL Central opponents.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the White Sox’s last five home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games at Rate Field.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the White Sox’s last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Sam Antonacci has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Anthony Kay has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances at Rate Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Andrew Benintendi has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Patrick Sandoval has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The White Sox rank 25th in the league for walks allowed this season (353).
• The White Sox rank 24th in the league for doubles this season (132).
• The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (370).
• The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for walks this season (268).

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

As I’ve said in my write-ups this season, I’m going to continue backing the White Sox, a team that gets no respect from oddsmakers but remains the most profitable team in baseball. Kay has been respectable this season, including a 3.02 ERA over 47.2 innings at home. Sandoval hasn’t pitched since 2024 as he’s been battling several arm issues. He’s looked good in AAA, but who knows what he’ll do on the mound here. It’s a long layoff. I don’t want anything to do with it. Give me the WHite Sox.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Chicago White Sox