Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction 5/17/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 17th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 20-25 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-3 and 2-1. In game two, Toronto tied the game at one in the seventh inning and they scored the only run in the 10th for the win. The Blue Jays recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Pinango, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Miles allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Varland picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Rays, but did win two out of three against the Angels before that. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 184 runs with a .243 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 10 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added five home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 2-3 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 51.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 20-26 this season after they lost game two by a score of 2-1 in extra innings on Saturday. Detroit led 1-0 in the sixth inning, but they couldn’t find anymore offense for the loss. The Tigers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Vierling, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Mize allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Finnegan blew the save and Holton got the loss. Prior to this series, Detroit lost all three against the Mets and two out of three against the Royals. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 187 runs with a .241 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with eight home runs and 28 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added four home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 0-4 with a 5.73 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Tigers have lost nine of their last 11 games.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Tigers’ last five games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Jack Flaherty’s six previous appearances as a starter against the Blue Jays.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven Sunday games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Matt Vierling has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 11 games.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit lost another game on Saturday afternoon, as they continue to struggle over the last few weeks. The Tigers are 13-7 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 7-14 on the road. Toronto has lost three of their last five games and three of their last four have gone to extra innings. The Blue Jays are starting Gausman, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in two of his last three starts, while Flaherty has allowed 3, 2, 4, and 6 earned runs in his last four starts. I don’t really trust either pitcher right now, so I like the over in this one.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8