Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 5/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 29th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 28-29 this year after they won game one by a score of 2-1 on Thursday night. Toronto was tied at one late in the game, but they scored in the eighth inning to escape with the win. The Blue Jays recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Gimenez, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Corbin allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Hoffman picked up the win and Varland got the save. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Pirates. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 228 runs with a .242 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 11 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added six home runs and 28 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is TBD. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 26-31 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-1 last night. Baltimore tied the game at one in the fourth inning, but they failed to score over the last five innings in the loss. The Orioles recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Mayo, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Bassitt allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Nunez picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore swept the Rays in three games and won two out of three against the Tigers. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.63 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while they have scored 255 runs with a .237 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 10 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 13 home runs and 29 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 2-6 with a 6.96 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won seven of their last eight home games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven road games against the Orioles following a road win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against the Blue Jays following a home loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a road win.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won six of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost four of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last three home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last three games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Orioles’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Blue Jays and Orioles.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 12 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (297).
• The Orioles rank T4th in the league for doubles this season (95).
• The Blue Jays rank T3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (522).
• The Blue Jays are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 

Toronto was able to get a low scoring victory in game one on Thursday and they have won three games in a row. The Blue Jays are 11-16 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 17-14 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last four games and they have scored 6+ runs in all three of those wins. The Orioles are starting Rogers, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three straight starts, while the Jays have not named a starter yet. I can’t back Rogers on the mound right now, so I will take the Blue Jays here.

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML