Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction 7/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 29th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 49-59 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 6-8. In game two, Toronto allowed four runs in the first inning, but did score three runs in the eighth to make it look closer than it was. The Blue Jays recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Springer, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Bieber allowed one hit and four earned runs over 0.1 innings for the loss, while Fluharty allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Red Sox and three out of four against the Rays. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 425 runs with a .242 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 24 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Trey Yesavage, who is 4-5 with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 55-53 this year after they won game two by a score of 8-6 last night. Washington led 8-3 in the fifth inning, but they did go scoreless over the last three innings in the win. The Nationals recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Garcia Jr, who went 2-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Cavalli allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Varland allowed two earned runs in relief and Beeter got the save. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Rockies. 

This season, Washington has a 4.75 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 594 runs with a .254 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 27 home runs and 82 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 72 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Zack Littell, who is 7-8 with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 101.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won nine of the last 13 games between the Blue Jays and Nationals at Nationals Park.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in four of their last five home games.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have won five of their last six games against the Nationals following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last five day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Nationals’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• James Wood has hit at least one home run in five of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs.
• Zack Littell has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents.
• James Wood has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last nine games as underdogs.
• Zack Littell has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Blue Jays as road favorites.
• Trey Yesavage has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against the Nationals.

Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup after alternating wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed 6+ runs in their last three losses. The Blue Jays are 23-29 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 23-33 at home. Washington has won three games in a row and they have scored 23 runs in those three wins. The Nationals are starting Littell, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Yesavage has allowed 3+ earned runs in three straight starts. I like the Blue Jays on the road here with Yesavage on the mound.

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML