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Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction 06/26/2025 Picks
Pick details
Toronto (42-37) vs Cleveland (40-38)
June 26, 2025 at 01:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland +1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5
In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 26th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 42-37 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 10-6 and 4-5. In their game two loss, Toronto blew a 4-3 lead in the sixth inning and they failed to score in the 10th for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Springer, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Toronto started Scherzer, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Fluharty picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the White Sox, but did win two out of three against the Diamondbacks before that. Toronto has lost four of their last six games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 344 runs with a .256 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Bo Bichette has led Toronto with 11 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Vladimir Guerrero has added 11 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 5-6 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 86.0 innings pitched this year.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 40-38 this season after they won game two by a score of 5-4 on Wednesday. Cleveland led 3-1 in the fourth inning, but they needed the tying run in the sixth, before winning in extras. The Guardians recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ramirez and Arias, who both had two RBIs in the win. Cleveland started Williams, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Enright picked up the win.
Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Athletics and two out of three against the Giants. Cleveland has won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 297 runs with a .231 batting average and a .302 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 13 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 12 home runs and 32 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 4-7 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 88.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Guardians will beat the Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight road games after going to extra innings.
The Guardians have won each of their last eight games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a home win.
The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight Thursday home games against AL East opponents.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against the Guardians following a road loss.
The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Progressive Field against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Progressive Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Blue Jays will beat the Guardians
The Guardians have lost three of their last four games as favorites following an extra innings win.
The Blue Jays have won five of their last six Thursday games as road underdogs.
The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites after going to extra innings.
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Blue Jays’ last five road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Guardians’ last four day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Guardians’ last 10 day games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last three games at Progressive Field against opponents that held a winning record.
Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against the Guardians.
Andres Gimenez has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL Central opponents.
Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five Thursday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games as road underdogs against the Guardians.
Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
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Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction
Cleveland was able to get the win in a very entertaining game on Wednesday night and they have won three of their last four games. The Guardians are 20-16 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 17-21 on the road. Toronto hasn’t played their best over their last five games and they are starting Gausman, who has allowed 7, 4, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last four starts. Cleveland is going with Bibee, who has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five outings. We have seen Gausman really struggle in his recent starts, so I like the over here.