Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 9/10/24

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Boston Red Sox (72-70) vs Baltimore Orioles (82-62)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 10, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -104 / Baltimore Orioles -114 — Over/Under: 9.5

(Get latest betting odds)


In this article, we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 10th, at Fenway Park.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Orioles’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Red Sox’s recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Red Sox

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Orioles and Red Sox. 

Orioles Pitching Has to be Better

The Orioles’ pitching has to be better after they gave up 12 runs on Monday. Cade Povich went 4.2 innings giving up five hits and four runs. Anthony Santander hit a home run and drove in three RBIs. The Orioles are averaging 4.93 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.29 runs per game. The offense is ranked 4th in the league while the pitching is ranked 14th. Anthony Santander has hit 39 home runs and driven in 91 RBis. Getting the start for the Orioles will be Albert Suarez who sits with a 7-5 record and an ERA of 3.49. In his last start against the Chicago White Sox, he went 4.1 innings giving up eight hits and six runs. 

Why the Orioles Will Beat the Red Sox

  • The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Orioles have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Orioles following a win.

Red Sox Dominated

The Red Sox dominated on Monday scoring 12 runs on the way to the victory. Rob Resfnyder and Tyler O’Neil both hit two home runs. If the offense can stay hot, they have a chance to go on a little run. The Red Sox are averaging 4.73 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.77 runs per game. The offense is ranked 10th in the league while the pitching is ranked 25th. Rafael Devers has hit 28 home runs and driven in 81 RBIs. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Kutter Crawford who sits with an 8-13 record and an ERA of 4.08. In his last start against the New York Mets, he went six innings giving up one hit and two runs. 

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Orioles are going to get the job done here. The Red Sox haven’t gotten good pitching for most of the year out of Kutter Crawford and the Red Sox also haven’t given him a ton of run support. Suarez is coming off a bad start but he’s going to bounce back in a big way here. The Orioles are going to tee off on Crawford here and Baltimore will come out on top. Back Baltimore on the money line. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Baltimore ML

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