Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5/6/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Atlanta Braves and the Seattle Mariners meet Wednesday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out Martin Perez for the start here and Perez is 2-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mariners, Perez is 0-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 29 strikeouts. Bryan Woo will start for Seattle here and Woo is 1-2 with a 4.61 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Woo’s first career start against Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over the Mariners from their last game to sit at 26-11 this season. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Braves Win 4 Of Last 5

Drake Baldwin has 46 hits with 5 doubles, 9 home runs and 30 RBIs while Matt Olson has 44 hits with 15 doubles, 13 homers and 33 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 47 hits with 8 doubles, 8 home runs and 23 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 32 hits with 8 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs and 9 RBIs. Austin Riley has 29 hits with 6 doubles, 5 home runs and 22 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 34 hits with 4 doubles, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 34 hits with 9 doubles, 2 triples, 2 home runs and 20 RBIs this season. 

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Atlanta on Tuesday to slip to 17-20 this season. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a series against the Chicago White Sox.

Mariners Lose 4 Of 5

Luke Raley has 6 home runs and 16 RBIs this season. Cole Young’s added 33 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 19 RBIs and Cal Raleigh has 24 hits with 4 doubles, 7 home runs and 18 RBIs as well this season. Randy Arozarena has 35 hits with 9 doubles, 3 home runs and 12 RBIs as well on the year. Josh Naylor also has 31 hits with 4 home runs and 17 RBIs as well on the year. Julio Rodriguez has also added 38 hits with 7 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs.

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: May 6, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryan Woo      Record this season: 1-2      ERA: 4.61
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Braves: –

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won eight of their last nine day games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have lost four of their last five games against the Mariners following a win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a road win.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Martin Perez      Record this season: 2-1      ERA: 2.22
• Road Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Mariners: 0-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last 11 Wednesday games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last six Wednesday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as road underdogs.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mariners’ last nine home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Braves’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the Mariners’ last 15 games as home favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Braves’ last 13 road games against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Randy Arozarena ranks T10th in the league in Steals (8) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 17 games.
• Ozzie Albies ranks T1st in the league in Hits (47) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (91).
• The Mariners rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (212).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (349).

Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’m on the Braves here. I get the reasoning for backing the Mariners because of the name brand with Bryan Woo, as he was an all-star last year and is regarded as one of the better arms in Seattle’s rotation. However, he’s gotten rocked in his last two starts and the Braves have been very strong against right-handed pitching this season and I think they do enough to get to Woo and back up Martin Perez for the win here. Give me Atlanta.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Atlanta +105