Astros vs Yankees Prediction 8/10/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 10th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 65-52 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-3 and 4-5. In their game two loss, Houston led 1-0 in the first and tied the game in the eighth, but couldn’t hold the line in the bottom of the inning for the loss. The Astros recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Pena, Altuve, Correa, and Walker, who all had one RBI in the loss. Houston started Valdez, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings, while King picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Astros won two out of three against the Marlins, but lost all three against the Red Sox before that. Houston has won three of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 506 runs with a .258 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 20 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Yanier Diaz has added 16 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Jason Alexander, who is 2-1 with a 5.97 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 62-55 this season after they won game two by a score of 5-4 on Saturday afternoon. New York blew a 4-2 lead in the eighth inning, but they answered with one in the bottom of the eighth for the victory. The Yankees recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Stanton, who went 1-2 with two RBIs in the win. New York started Gil, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Bednar picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Rangers and all three against the Marlins. New York has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 595 runs with a .250 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Cody Bellinger has led New York with 20 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm has added 19 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 12-4 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 139.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Astros

• The Astros have lost seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have won eight of their last nine home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Yankee Stadium against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home day games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games at Yankee Stadium against American League opponents.

Why the Astros will beat the Yankees

• The Astros have won each of their last four day games against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium following a road loss.
• The Yankees have lost six of their last seven day games against the Astros following a win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against the Astros at Yankee Stadium following a home win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Yankee Stadium following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Yankees’ last five day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Astros’ last 10 games at Yankee Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Astros and Yankees.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in 10 of the Yankees’ last 18 home games against the Astros.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 10 day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Jeremy Pena has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Jake Meyers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against AL opponents.

Astros vs Yankees Prediction 

New York was able to get the dramatic win on Saturday afternoon and they will look for a badly needed series win here. The Yankees are 35-23 at home this year, while the Astros are 30-28 on the road. Houston holds a very slim lead over the Mariners in the AL West and they are starting Alexander, who has some rough numbers, but has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. New York is going with Fried, who has allowed four earned runs in two of his last three outings. Take the over here.