Pick details
| MATCHUP | Arizona Diamondbacks | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 16-13 | 15-14 |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Thursday, April 30, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 16-13 on the year and play the Cubs and Pirates next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 252 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and have a .425 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Ildemaro Vargas leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 32 hits and 20 RBI while Ketel Marte and Jose Fernandez have combined for 54 hits and 23 RBI.
Michael Soroka gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 4-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. Soroka is 1-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 15-14 on the year and play the Nationals and Cardinals next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 236 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and have a .354 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 28 hits and 16 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 53 hits and 37 RBI.
Brandon Woodruff gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 2-1 with a 3.77 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Woodruff is 3-1 with a 4.81 ERA and 49 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Brewers have won four of their last five day games against the Diamondbacks following a home loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games following a win.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against the Diamondbacks at American Family Field.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last seven Thursday day games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 16 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Brewers’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Diamondbacks’ last four road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as home favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five day games against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Sal Frelick has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games against the Diamondbacks.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Brewers as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine games against the Diamondbacks.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances at American Family Field against opponents that held a winning record.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 road appearances.
- Ildemaro Vargas ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.698) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 28th in the league for hits this season (227).
- The Brewers rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.354).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (216).
- The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (227).
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are getting the edge at home and Woodruff is having a fine season and he’s a two-time all star. I get it. We’re still getting plus money with the Diamondbacks and Soroka, who has quietly looked like one of the better NL pitchers through 27.2 innings. Soroka has a 2.60 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while striking out 34 and walking just 7. The Diamondbacks have won 4 of their first 5 starts. I’ll gladly take the more favorable price with the Diamondbacks on the road.
