Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 8/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, August 14th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 73-48 record this season and are sitting in 1st place in the NL East. They have a 41-21 home record and are coming off a 6-3 home win against the Mets. They will face the Twins and White Sox next.

The Atlanta Braves have a .249 batting average this season, a .314 OBP, and a .420 slugging percentage. The Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II leads the Braves with a .290 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 74 and adds a team-high 35 home runs.

Chris Sale (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 12-7 record, a 2.20 ERA, and a 1.02 WHIP.

 Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 64-58 record this season and are sitting in 3rd place in the NL West. They have a 28-31 away record and are coming off a 4-6 home loss against the Rockies. They will face the Red Sox and Reds next.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a .243 batting average this season, a .316 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Gabriel Moreno leads the Diamondbacks with a .305 batting average. Ketel Marte leads the team in RBI with 67 and adds a team-high 21 home runs.

Brandon Pfaadt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 6-1 record, a 3.36 ERA, and a 1.20 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: August 14, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale      Record this season: 12-7      ERA: 2.20
• Home Record: 7-2
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 4-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last 10 Friday home games.
• The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine games following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine home games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt      Record this season: 6-1      ERA: 3.36
• Road Record: 3-1
• Last 5 against Braves: 2-0

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Braves have lost five of their last six night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last four games.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against the Braves at Truist Park.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Braves at Truist Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven games as favorites against the Diamondbacks have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Chris Sale’s last 11 appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 10 of Brandon Pfaadt’s last 11 road appearances as a starter.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Diamondbacks.
• Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Olson ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two games.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Gabriel Moreno ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.305) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (164).
• The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (32).
• The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (828).

 Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction

The Dbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Braves and have won their last three visits in Atlanta.

In this Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -200 home favorites. I like the pitching in this matchup, as Chris Sale has been elite this season and even better at home with a 1.67 ERA, while Brandon Pfaadt has been untouchable lately, coming off three consecutive shutouts. Both teams are 11-6 to the under in their last 17 games combined and Arizona’s bullpen has been in excellent form lately. Take the under 8 runs in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 8