Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 6/5/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 5, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks (30-31, 15-14 Away) lost four straight series to the Dodgers, Cardinals, Pirates, and Nationals, but will win this one against the Braves after defeating them in the opening two games. The Diamondbacks are now on a three-game winning streak following last night’s 2-1 victory. Merrill Kelly got the win after allowing no runs on one hit with eight strikeouts and one walk across 7.0 innings of work. 

This year, the Diamondbacks average 5.02 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .254/.332/.444 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.68 ERA (24th) and 1.32 WHIP (20th). Eugenio Suarez leads the Diamondbacks with a .227 batting average, 16 home runs, and 44 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 7-4 in 12 starts this season, with a 5.05 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 62.1 innings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (27-33, 17-13 Home) have now lost five consecutive series after losing to the Nationals, Padres, Phillies, and Red Sox prior to this series. The Braves can only hope to avoid getting swept here following a narrow 2-1 defeat on Wednesday. Pinch-hitter, Drake Baldwin, drove in the lone RBI for Atlanta, while Chris Sale took the loss after allowing one run on three hits with ten strikeouts and four walks in 6.0 innings. 

This season, the Braves average 4.00 runs per game (21st in the MLB) on a .243/.316/.382 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.70 ERA (11th) and 1.24 WHIP (15th). Austin Riley leads the Braves with a .270 batting average, ten home runs, and 33 RBI this season.

Grant Holmes will take the mound for the Braves on Thursday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 3-4 record in 11 starts this year with a 3.78 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 64.1 innings.

Why the Braves will beat the Diamondbacks

• The Braves have won each of their last five day games following a home loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost three of their last four day games following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five day games at Truist Park following a home loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four day games following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as underdogs against the Braves have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Braves’ last six home games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank T23rd in the league for runs scored this season (240).
• The Braves rank T22nd in the league for RBIs this season (230).
• The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (84).
• The Diamondbacks rank T4th in the league for triples this season (12).

Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. The D-backs got revenge for a series loss in Arizona earlier in the season, but I don’t think they will sweep the Braves here. Brandon Pfaadt had a terrible May and allowed 3+ runs in five of his last six starts. Pfaadt didn’t even register one out in his latest start against Washington, when he surrendered eight runs in 0.0 innings! Grant Holmes, on the other hand, allowed more than three runs just once in his previous six starts, and I am backing him to grab a win on Thursday. Go with the Braves.