Philadelphia Phillies vs Oakland Athletics Prediction 5/25/25 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies are visiting the Athletics on Sunday, May 25th at the Sutter Health Park in the third game of this series, with the Phillies having a 2-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Athletics Prediction. We will examine:

The Athletics’ recent form and player performance

The Philadelphia Phillies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Athletics

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Philadelphia Phillies vs Athletics

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Philadelphia Phillies vs Athletics game

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 22-31 record this season and are sitting in last place in the AL West. The Athletics have an 8-18 home record and are 28-21 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-9 home defeat by the Phillies, and are 2-15 in their last 17 games. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games, and they are playing the Blue Jays and the Astros next.

The Athletics have a .255 batting average this season, a .321 OBP, and a .417 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 67 hits and a team-high .342 batting average, while Tyler Soderstrom leads the team with 31 RBI, and Brent Booker adds a team-high 12 home runs.

Gunnar Hoglund (R) will take the mound for the Athletics, and he has a 1-2 record, 5.06 ERA, and 1.41 WHIP. He has been weaker at home with a 6.30 ERA across two home starts, and he has been torched in his last two starts, with 9 earned runs across 9.3 innings pitched. This will be his first career start versus the Phillies.  

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 34-18 record this season and are sitting in first place in the NL East. They have a 17-10 road record and are 23-28 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-6 road victory over the Athletics, and are 12-2 in their last 14 games. They are playing the Brewers and the Braves next.

The Phillies have a .261 batting average this season, a .337 OBP, and a .412 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 63 hits and in batting average with .304, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 40 RBI and a team-high 18 home runs.

Jesus Luzardo (L) will take the mound for the Phillies, and he has a 5-0 record, 1.95 ERA, and 1.15 WHIP. He has been great on the road with a 1.91 ERA across five road starts, and he is coming off two quality starts with a combined two earned runs across 13 innings pitched. In his only start against the Athletics in his career, back in 2022, he had two earned runs in 7 innings pitched.  

Why the Athletics will win

• The Athletics have won each of their last six day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five Sunday games as favorites.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against the Athletics following a win.
• The Athletics have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games.
• The Athletics have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home day games.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Athletics have lost each of their last 12 games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have won each of their last 12 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Sutter Health Park.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last four road games against AL West opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road favorites against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Athletics’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five road games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Athletics’ last five day games against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Athletics rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (208).
• The Athletics rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (74).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (509).
• The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Athletics Prediction

The Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 overall meetings against the Athletics, and have won their last five visits in Oakland. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Philadelphia Phillies vs Athletics Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -180 road favorites. The Phillies are rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season, and are coming in this matchup red-hot, having won their last nine games, while the A’s have been on a free fall with 11 consecutive losses. The Phillies have the pitching advantage, the better bullpen, and a better batting average. I don’t think this is the spot where the A’s bounce back. Take the Philadelphia Phillies on the runline in this one.